Value bets yesterday
Bets where our chance is clearly higher than the bookmaker's price suggests. Higher odds, lower hit rate – the edge shows over many bets, so keep stakes small.
USAMLS Next Pro1
FT
Chattanooga1
Los Angeles FC II0
1Chattanooga to win
65%@1.67
✓
PeruPrimera División2
FT
Deportivo Garcilaso0
Comerciantes Unidos0
GGBoth teams to score
54%@2.00
✗
FT
Universitario2
UCV Moquegua2
GGBoth teams to score
52%@2.10
✓
ColombiaPrimera A2
FT
Deportes Tolima2
Millonarios1
2Millonarios to win
37%@3.25
✗
FT
Alianza Valledupar1
Llaneros2
1Alianza Valledupar to win
47%@2.30
✗
VenezuelaPrimera División1
FT
Deportivo La Guaira0
Carabobo FC0
2Carabobo FC to win
45%@2.50
✗
MexicoLiga MX2
FT
Club Queretaro0
Puebla2
1Club Queretaro to win
64%@1.80
✗
FT
Leon1
Guadalajara Chivas1
2Guadalajara Chivas to win
57%@1.95
✗
GuatemalaLiga Nacional1
FT
Antigua GFC2
Malacateco0
GGBoth teams to score
55%@1.93
✗
UzbekistanPro League A2
FT
Metalourg1
Aral0
1Metalourg to win
61%@1.86
✓
FT
Yaypan1
Lochin0
2Lochin to win
59%@1.91
✗
RussiaSecond League A Fall Season Gold1
FT
Mashuk-KMV3
Rodina Moskva II0
2Rodina Moskva II to win
58%@1.89
✗
IranAzadegan League2
FT
Mes Soongoun2
Naft Gachsaran1
1Mes Soongoun to win
60%@1.94
✓
FT
Novin Ahvaz0
Ario Eslamshahr0
GGBoth teams to score
53%@2.07
✗
EgyptCup2
FT
Wadi Degla0
Kahraba Ismailia0
Pens 2–3
GGBoth teams to score
53%@2.10
✗
FT
Masr5
Samanod1
GGBoth teams to score
51%@2.50
✓
RomaniaLiga II1
FT
FC Politehnica Timisoara0
CSM Reşiţa0
GGBoth teams to score
56%@1.95
✗
1
FT
Al Wasl U232
Al Jazira U232
2Al Jazira U23 to win
45%@2.39
✗
EnglandProfessional Development League1
FT
Coventry City U210
Queens Park Rangers U212
1Coventry City U21 to win
63%@1.71
✗
BulgariaSecond League1
FT
Fratria6
Sportist Svoge2
GGBoth teams to score
50%@2.15
✓
GermanyFrauen Bundesliga1
FT
FC Koln W3
RB Leipzig W1
1FC Koln W to win
62%@1.73
✓
SerbiaPrva Liga1
FT
Javor2
TSC Backa Topola2
2TSC Backa Topola to win
38%@2.82
✗
RomaniaLiga I1
FT
FC Botosani1
Oţelul1
2Oţelul to win
32%@3.56
✗
SpainPrimera División Femenina1
FT
Atletico Madrid W3
FC Levante Badalona W0
GGBoth teams to score
57%@1.91
✗
EnglandPremier League 2 Division One1
FT
Middlesbrough U211
Derby County U211
1Middlesbrough U21 to win
61%@1.78
✗
ItalySerie C Girone B1
FT
Pineto1
Vis Pesaro0
1Pineto to win
65%@1.80
✓
ItalySerie C Girone C2
FT
Foggia0
Barletta1
2Barletta to win
33%@3.30
✓
FT
AZ Picerno1
Bari1
GGBoth teams to score
56%@2.00
✓
SpainSegunda División1
FT
Sabadell0
Real Sociedad II0
1Sabadell to win
62%@1.71
✗
EnglandNational League South1
FT
Chelmsford City2
Ebbsfleet United2
2Ebbsfleet United to win
63%@1.80
✗
PortugalSegunda Liga1
FT
Torreense2
União de Leiria3
1Torreense to win
63%@1.92
✗
How we find value
Every price hides a chance: odds of 2.50 mean the bookmaker rates the outcome at about 40% (1 ÷ 2.50), plus their margin. When our model rates the same outcome at 46% or more, the bet has value – over hundreds of bets, backing outcomes like this should return more than you stake.
Value bets are listed separately from our main predictions because they lose more often. The results record tracks both, so you can see how each performs.
Frequently asked questions
What makes a value bet?
Our chance must be at least 6% higher than the chance implied by the bookmaker's odds (chance × odds ≥ 1.06), at odds between 1.60 and 4.50.
Will value bets win more often?
No – they win less often than our main picks, because the prices are bigger. The aim is a profit over many bets, not a win every time. Stake small and stay consistent.
Why do draws appear here?
Draws are often under-priced by bookmakers in close games. When our numbers rate a draw clearly higher than its price, it shows up as value.