Cup · Egypt
Masr
Samanod
Masr vs Samanod prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.50 – our chance 51% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Masr 2.6 – 0.7 Samanod expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Masr are clear favourites at home with a 77% chance of winning, against 7% for Samanod.
Masr have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.2 per game.
We expect around 3.3 goals (2.6 for Masr, 0.7 for Samanod). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (12%), 3–0 (11%), 1–0 (9%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.55. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.50 is our value angle (51% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Masr to win ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.12 |
| Double chance | Masr or draw ✓ | 93% | 1.08 | 1.01 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.97 | 2.50 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 83% | 1.21 | 1.14 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.55 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 57% | 1.77 | 1.67 |
| Half-time result | Masr ahead at half-time ✓ | 57% | 1.74 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Masr / FT Masr ✓ | 54% | 1.85 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.18 | – |
Form
Masr – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Ceramica Cleopatra | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Oct | @ Azam | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Oct | vs Future FC | 3–2 | W |
| 16 Oct | vs Azam | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Oct | @ El Mokawloon | 1–1 | D |
| 7 Oct | @ Zamalek SC | 3–0 | W |
Samanod
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Masr and Samanod.
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✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Masr vs Samanod?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Masr vs Samanod?
On our numbers Masr have a 77% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Samanod 7%.
How many goals will there be in Masr vs Samanod?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Masr vs Samanod?
Masr vs Samanod (Cup) kicks off on Monday 9 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.