Azadegan League · Iran

Novin Ahvaz

WDWDD
0–0
FT

Ario Eslamshahr

LLWWL

Novin Ahvaz vs Ario Eslamshahr prediction & analysis

64%
Footrivo pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.46 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.46Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.07 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultNovin Ahvaz to win ✗40% · @2.52
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.07
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.32

Win chances

Novin Ahvaz40%fair 2.48 · @2.52
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @2.63
Ario Eslamshahr32%fair 3.09 · @2.89
2.12Expected goals
1.14Novin Ahvaz xG
0.98Ario Eslamshahr xG
53%Both score
36%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–112%
2–08%
2–18%

From our goals model: Novin Ahvaz 1.1 – 1.0 Ario Eslamshahr expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Novin Ahvaz hold the edge on home soil with a 40% chance of winning, against 32% for Ario Eslamshahr, and a draw (27%) is a real possibility.

Novin Ahvaz have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (2W 4D 0L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.7 per game. Ario Eslamshahr have 9 points from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), averaging 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.

We expect around 2.1 goals (1.1 for Novin Ahvaz, 1.0 for Ario Eslamshahr). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (12%).

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.46 is close to our fair price of 1.57. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.07 is our value angle (53% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNovin Ahvaz to win ✗40%2.482.52
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73%1.371.26
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.902.07 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗63%1.581.43
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓64%1.571.46
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓48%2.07–
Half-time / full-timeHT Novin Ahvaz / FT Novin Ahvaz ✗22%4.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14%7.32–

Form

Novin Ahvaz – last 6

WDWDDD
2 Nov@ Naft Bandar Abbas1–0W
27 Octvs Be'sat Kermanshah0–0D
19 Oct@ Havadar1–0W
11 Octvs Naft Masjed Soleyman1–1D
4 Oct@ Naft Gachsaran1–1D
27 Sepvs Shahin Bandar Ameri2–2D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Ario Eslamshahr – last 6

LLWWLW
2 Novvs Fard Alborz0–3L
27 Oct@ Pars Jonoubi JAM0–1L
20 Octvs Naft Bandar Abbas4–0W
12 Octvs Be'sat Kermanshah2–0W
5 Oct@ Mes Rafsanjan0–1L
28 Sepvs Havadar2–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Novin Ahvaz and Ario Eslamshahr.

More Azadegan League predictions

FT Mes Soongoun2 Naft Gachsaran1 602415 1Mes Soongoun to win 60%@1.94 ✓ FT Saipa0 Havadar0 682210 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 76%@1.24 ✓ FT Pars Jonoubi JAM4 Naft Bandar Abbas1 68229 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 65%@1.52 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Novin Ahvaz vs Ario Eslamshahr?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.46.

Who will win Novin Ahvaz vs Ario Eslamshahr?

On our numbers Novin Ahvaz have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Ario Eslamshahr 32%.

How many goals will there be in Novin Ahvaz vs Ario Eslamshahr?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

When is Novin Ahvaz vs Ario Eslamshahr?

Novin Ahvaz vs Ario Eslamshahr (Azadegan League) kicks off on Monday 9 November 2026 at 14:15 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.