Primera A · Colombia · Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau
Alianza Valledupar
Llaneros
Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Value bet: Alianza Valledupar to win @ 2.30 – our chance 47% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Alianza Valledupar 1.3 – 1.0 Llaneros expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Alianza Valledupar hold the edge on home soil with a 47% chance of winning, against 30% for Llaneros.
Alianza Valledupar have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.3 per game. Llaneros have 6 points from their last 6 (2W 0D 4L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.3 for Alianza Valledupar, 1.0 for Llaneros). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 51%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (13%), 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Alianza Valledupar have won 0, Llaneros have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 0.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 78% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.28. For a bigger price, Alianza Valledupar to win at 2.30 is our value angle (47% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Alianza Valledupar to win ✗ | 47% | 2.15 | 2.30 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.36 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.95 | 1.83 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.46 | 1.36 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 58% | 1.73 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.22 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 46% | 2.19 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Alianza Valledupar / FT Alianza Valledupar ✗ | 26% | 3.84 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 13% | 7.74 | – |
Form
Alianza Valledupar – last 6
| 2 Nov | @ Independiente Medellin | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Oct | @ Once Caldas | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Oct | vs Internacional de Bogota | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Oct | @ Deportivo Pasto | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Águilas Doradas | 2–2 | D |
| 3 Oct | @ Deportivo Cali | 1–3 | L |
Llaneros – last 6
| 1 Nov | vs Junior | 3–2 | W |
| 27 Oct | @ Jaguares | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Oct | vs Deportivo Cali | 0–3 | L |
| 19 Oct | vs Santa Fe | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Oct | @ Internacional de Bogota | 1–4 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ Once Caldas | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
| 27 Apr 2026 | Llaneros v Alianza Valledupar | 0–0 |
More Primera A predictions
Deportes Tolima2
Millonarios1
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
75%@1.27
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros?
On our numbers Alianza Valledupar have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Llaneros 30%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros?
Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros (Primera A) kicks off on Monday 9 November 2026 at 02:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.