Liga MX · Mexico · Estadio La Corregidora

Club Queretaro

LLLLW
0–2
FT

Puebla

LLLDD

Club Queretaro vs Puebla prediction & analysis

85%
Footrivo pick

Club Queretaro or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: Club Queretaro to win @ 1.80 – our chance 64% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultClub Queretaro to win ✗64% · @1.80
Double chanceClub Queretaro or draw ✗85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.20

Win chances

Club Queretaro64%fair 1.56 · @1.80
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.75
Puebla15%fair 6.88 · @4.33
2.78Expected goals
1.96Club Queretaro xG
0.82Puebla xG
56%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%

From our goals model: Club Queretaro 2.0 – 0.8 Puebla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Club Queretaro are clear favourites at home with a 64% chance of winning, against 15% for Puebla.

Club Queretaro have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (2W 0D 4L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.2 per game. Puebla have 2 points from their last 6 (0W 2D 4L), averaging 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded. Club Queretaro come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.8 goals (2.0 for Club Queretaro, 0.8 for Puebla). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 56%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (12%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (10%).

In their last 1 meeting, Club Queretaro have won 1, Puebla have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Club Queretaro or draw at a 85% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is better than our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Club Queretaro to win at 1.80 is our value angle (64% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultClub Queretaro to win ✗64%1.561.80 ▲
Double chanceClub Queretaro or draw ✗85%1.171.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.801.70
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.311.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.881.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.471.40
Half-time resultClub Queretaro ahead at half-time ✗46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Club Queretaro / FT Club Queretaro ✗41%2.43–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12%8.20–

Form

Club Queretaro – last 6

LLLLWW
31 Oct@ FC Juarez1–3L
26 Octvs Cruz Azul1–3L
21 Oct@ Atletico San Luis1–2L
18 Oct@ Santos Laguna0–5L
11 Octvs Atlante FC2–0W
27 Sep@ Guadalajara Chivas2–0W
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Puebla – last 6

LLLDDL
31 Octvs U.N.A.M. - Pumas1–2L
26 Oct@ Atlas3–4L
22 Octvs Monterrey1–4L
17 Oct@ Club Tijuana0–0D
10 Octvs Leon1–1D
27 Sep@ Tigres UANL0–1L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

25 Apr 2026Puebla v Club Queretaro1–2

More Liga MX predictions

FT Leon1 Guadalajara Chivas1 212257 X2Guadalajara Chivas or draw 79%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Club Queretaro vs Puebla?

Our pick is Club Queretaro or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Club Queretaro vs Puebla?

On our numbers Club Queretaro have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Puebla 15%.

How many goals will there be in Club Queretaro vs Puebla?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

When is Club Queretaro vs Puebla?

Club Queretaro vs Puebla (Liga MX) kicks off on Monday 9 November 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Corregidora.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.