How Footrivo works
Every Footrivo prediction comes from the same three steps. This page explains them in plain words, then walks through every market and term you'll see on the site – useful whether you placed your first bet last week or have been betting for years.
1. The model rates every match
Each match starts with a statistical rating built from recent form, home and away records, goals scored and conceded and past meetings. That gives a first estimate of the home win, draw and away win chances, and of how many goals each team is likely to score.
2. We blend in the bookmakers' prices
Bookmakers react fastest to team news – injuries, rotation, a new manager. We remove their margin from the odds and blend that information in: 62% our model, 38% the market. When the two sides are very close we give the draw a small lift, because pure models tend to under-rate draws in tight games.
3. One goals picture gives every market
From the expected goals for each side we build a full score grid (every result from 0–0 to 7–7). Every market – both teams to score, over/under, correct score, half-time result, HT/FT – is read from that one grid, so the numbers always agree with each other. Where a bookmaker prices a goals market, we blend that price in too.
The Footrivo pick
For each match we look at the main markets – match result, double chance, both teams to score and over/under 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals – and choose the strongest option at a price worth having. A 90% chance at odds of 1.05 pays almost nothing, so picks with real value against the bookmaker's price and odds around 1.40–2.20 get a boost. Picks priced under 1.13 are never chosen unless they are a straight home or away win.
Ratings out of 10
- 8–10: very strong pick – our chance is about 75% or more.
- 6–7: strong pick, roughly 62–74%.
- 4–5: good pick, around 52–61%.
- 1–3: a lean – close to a coin toss.
Fair odds and value
Fair odds are simply 1 ÷ our chance. If we rate an outcome at 50%, fair odds are 2.00. When a bookmaker offers more than our fair odds – say 2.30 – the bet has value. Our value bets list only shows bets where our chance beats the price by at least 6%, at odds between 1.60 and 4.50.
The markets explained
- 1X2 (match result): 1 = home win, X = draw, 2 = away win.
- Double chance: two results in one bet – 1X (home or draw), X2 (away or draw).
- Both teams to score (GG / NG): GG wins if both teams score; NG if at least one doesn't.
- Over/under goals: O2.5 wins with 3+ goals in the match, U2.5 with 2 or fewer.
- Correct score: the exact final score – big prices, low chances.
- HT/FT: the result at half-time and at full-time, e.g. 1/1 = home team leading at both.
How picks are graded
Every pick is graded on the 90-minute score (including stoppage time), exactly as bookmakers settle. Extra time and penalties never count. Postponed or abandoned matches are void. Every result stays on the site – see the results record.
Please bet responsibly
No prediction is certain, and a strong record over a month can still include losing weeks. Set a budget, never chase losses and only bet what you can afford to lose. Betting is for adults (18+). See our responsible gambling page for help and tools.