National League South · England · Melbourne Stadium
Chelmsford City
Ebbsfleet United
Chelmsford City vs Ebbsfleet United prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
Value bet: Ebbsfleet United to win @ 1.80 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Chelmsford City 1.0 – 2.0 Ebbsfleet United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Ebbsfleet United travel as clear favourites – 63% to win, against 21% for Chelmsford City.
Chelmsford City have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.3 per game. Ebbsfleet United have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 2.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 3.0 goals (1.0 for Chelmsford City, 2.0 for Ebbsfleet United). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 0–1 (10%), 1–1 (10%), 0–2 (10%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 79% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.27. For a bigger price, Ebbsfleet United to win at 1.80 is our value angle (63% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Ebbsfleet United to win ✗ | 63% | 1.59 | 1.80 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 84% | 1.19 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 60% | 1.66 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.20 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 58% | 1.73 | 1.60 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 64% | 1.56 | 1.50 |
| Half-time result | Ebbsfleet United ahead at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.28 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Ebbsfleet United / FT Ebbsfleet United ✗ | 38% | 2.63 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 10% | 9.81 | – |
Form
Chelmsford City – last 6
| 7 Nov | vs Farnborough | 2–1 | W |
| 2 Nov | vs Farnham Town | 0–2 | L |
| 31 Oct | @ AFC Totton | 3–1 | W |
| 27 Oct | @ Dover | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Oct | vs Tonbridge Angels | 3–3 | D |
| 17 Oct | @ Wimborne Town | 0–1 | L |
Ebbsfleet United – last 6
| 7 Nov | vs Chesham United | 1–0 | W |
| 3 Nov | @ Farnborough | 6–0 | W |
| 31 Oct | @ Truro City | 0–3 | L |
| 27 Oct | @ Maidstone Utd | 3–1 | W |
| 24 Oct | vs Maidenhead | 4–0 | W |
| 20 Oct | vs Horsham | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chelmsford City and Ebbsfleet United.
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Chelmsford City vs Ebbsfleet United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Chelmsford City vs Ebbsfleet United?
On our numbers Chelmsford City have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Ebbsfleet United 63%.
How many goals will there be in Chelmsford City vs Ebbsfleet United?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
When is Chelmsford City vs Ebbsfleet United?
Chelmsford City vs Ebbsfleet United (National League South) kicks off on Monday 9 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Melbourne Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.