Pro League A · Uzbekistan · Metallurg Stadium
Metalourg
Aral
Metalourg vs Aral prediction & analysis
Metalourg to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.86 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Metalourg 1.9 – 1.0 Aral expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Metalourg are clear favourites at home with a 61% chance of winning, against 25% for Aral.
Metalourg have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (3W 3D 0L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.7 per game. Aral have 15 points from their last 6 (5W 0D 1L), averaging 2.2 scored and 0.7 conceded.
We expect around 2.9 goals (1.9 for Metalourg, 1.0 for Aral). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Metalourg have won 0, Aral have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Metalourg to win at a 61% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.86 is better than our fair price of 1.64, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Metalourg to win ✓ | 61% | 1.64 | 1.86 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 87% | 1.16 | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 60% | 1.68 | 1.53 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 79% | 1.27 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 57% | 1.76 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.52 | 1.42 |
| Half-time result | Metalourg ahead at half-time ✗ | 41% | 2.41 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Metalourg / FT Metalourg ✗ | 35% | 2.83 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✓ | 10% | 9.82 | – |
Form
Metalourg – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ Lochin | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Oct | vs Gazalkent | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Oct | @ FarDu | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Oct | vs Shortan | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Sep | vs Jayxun | 1–0 | W |
| 7 Sep | vs Pakhtakor II | 1–0 | W |
Aral – last 6
| 1 Nov | vs Gazalkent | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Oct | @ Shortan | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs Jayxun | 2–0 | W |
| 13 Oct | @ Pakhtakor II | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Sep | @ Yaypan | 5–2 | W |
| 13 Sep | vs Lochin | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
| 5 Aug 2026 | Aral v Metalourg | 1–0 |
More Pro League A predictions
Jayxun0
Olimpik-Mobiuz3
2Olimpik-Mobiuz to win
66%@1.55
✓
FT
Gazalkent0
Respublika FA3
1Gazalkent to win
72%@1.32
✗
FT
Shortan3
BuxDu0
O2.5Over 2.5 goals
63%@1.41
✓
FT
Yaypan1
Lochin0
2Lochin to win
59%@1.91
✗
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Metalourg vs Aral?
Our pick is Metalourg to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.86.
Who will win Metalourg vs Aral?
On our numbers Metalourg have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Aral 25%.
How many goals will there be in Metalourg vs Aral?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
When is Metalourg vs Aral?
Metalourg vs Aral (Pro League A) kicks off on Monday 9 November 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Metallurg Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.