Primera División · Venezuela · Estadio Olimpico de la UCV
Deportivo La Guaira
Carabobo FC
Deportivo La Guaira vs Carabobo FC prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
Value bet: Carabobo FC to win @ 2.50 – our chance 45% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Deportivo La Guaira 1.1 – 1.4 Carabobo FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Carabobo FC shade it despite being away from home – 45% to win, against 32% for Deportivo La Guaira.
Deportivo La Guaira have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.5 per game. Carabobo FC have 12 points from their last 6 (3W 3D 0L), averaging 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. Carabobo FC come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.1 for Deportivo La Guaira, 1.4 for Carabobo FC). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 59%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (11%), 1–0 (9%).
In their last 3 meetings, Deportivo La Guaira have won 0, Carabobo FC have won 2 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.3 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.30 is close to our fair price of 1.35. For a bigger price, Carabobo FC to win at 2.50 is our value angle (45% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Carabobo FC to win ✗ | 45% | 2.21 | 2.50 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 78% | 1.29 | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 59% | 1.69 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 72% | 1.39 | 1.30 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 53% | 1.87 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.35 | 1.30 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 44% | 2.27 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Carabobo FC / FT Carabobo FC ✗ | 25% | 3.96 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 11% | 8.81 | – |
Form
Deportivo La Guaira – last 6
| 4 Nov | @ Portuguesa FC | 3–0 | W |
| 1 Nov | vs Portuguesa FC | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Oct | @ Carabobo FC | 1–3 | L |
| 26 Oct | vs Metropolitanos FC | 2–2 | D |
| 21 Oct | vs Aragua FC | 3–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Trujillanos FC | 1–2 | L |
Carabobo FC – last 6
| 5 Nov | @ Metropolitanos FC | 2–0 | W |
| 2 Nov | vs Metropolitanos FC | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Oct | vs Deportivo La Guaira | 3–1 | W |
| 22 Oct | vs Mineros de Guyana | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Oct | vs Deportivo Tachira FC | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Oct | @ Anzoátegui FC | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
| 29 Oct 2026 | Carabobo FC v Deportivo La Guaira | 3–1 |
| 15 Sep 2026 | Carabobo FC v Deportivo La Guaira | 1–0 |
| 3 Apr 2026 | Deportivo La Guaira v Carabobo FC | 1–1 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Deportivo La Guaira vs Carabobo FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Deportivo La Guaira vs Carabobo FC?
On our numbers Deportivo La Guaira have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Carabobo FC 45%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo La Guaira vs Carabobo FC?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
When is Deportivo La Guaira vs Carabobo FC?
Deportivo La Guaira vs Carabobo FC (Primera División) kicks off on Monday 9 November 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico de la UCV.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.