Segunda Liga · Portugal · Estadio Manuel Marques
Torreense
União de Leiria
Torreense vs União de Leiria prediction & analysis
Torreense to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.92 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Torreense 1.8 – 0.8 União de Leiria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Torreense are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 20% for União de Leiria.
Torreense have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.5 per game. União de Leiria have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded. União de Leiria come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.8 for Torreense, 0.8 for União de Leiria). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 56%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (13%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (11%).
Our pick is Torreense to win at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.92 is better than our fair price of 1.59, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Torreense to win ✗ | 63% | 1.59 | 1.92 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 83% | 1.21 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 56% | 1.78 | 1.60 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.33 | 1.18 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 52% | 1.93 | 1.69 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 69% | 1.44 | 1.38 |
| Half-time result | Torreense ahead at half-time ✓ | 43% | 2.34 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Torreense / FT Torreense ✗ | 37% | 2.67 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 13% | 7.63 | – |
Form
Torreense – last 6
| 5 Nov | vs Ararat-Armenia | 3–2 | W |
| 31 Oct | @ Portimonense | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Oct | vs Amarante | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Oct | @ Ferencvarosi TC | 1–4 | L |
| 15 Oct | vs Sunderland | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ Tondela | 0–1 | L |
União de Leiria – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs AVS | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Oct | @ FC Porto B | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Oct | vs Bragança | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | vs Academica | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ O Elvas | 2–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | @ Amarante | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Torreense and União de Leiria.
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Torreense vs União de Leiria?
Our pick is Torreense to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.92.
Who will win Torreense vs União de Leiria?
On our numbers Torreense have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 17% and União de Leiria 20%.
How many goals will there be in Torreense vs União de Leiria?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Torreense vs União de Leiria?
Torreense vs União de Leiria (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Monday 9 November 2026 at 21:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel Marques.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.