Segunda División · Spain · Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta
Sabadell
Real Sociedad II
Sabadell vs Real Sociedad II prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Value bet: Sabadell to win @ 1.71 – our chance 62% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Sabadell 1.8 – 0.8 Real Sociedad II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Sabadell are clear favourites at home with a 62% chance of winning, against 16% for Real Sociedad II.
Sabadell have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (1W 3D 2L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.0 per game. Real Sociedad II have 6 points from their last 6 (2W 0D 4L), averaging 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.8 for Sabadell, 0.8 for Real Sociedad II). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 49%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (11%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.36. For a bigger price, Sabadell to win at 1.71 is our value angle (62% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Sabadell to win ✗ | 62% | 1.61 | 1.71 ▲ |
| Double chance | Sabadell or draw ✓ | 84% | 1.19 | 1.16 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.95 | 1.82 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 72% | 1.40 | 1.27 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 53% | 1.90 | 1.79 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.36 | 1.25 |
| Half-time result | Sabadell ahead at half-time ✗ | 43% | 2.30 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Sabadell / FT Sabadell ✗ | 39% | 2.59 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 14% | 7.15 | – |
Form
Sabadell – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Albacete | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Oct | vs Tenerife | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Oct | @ Burgos | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ AD Ceuta FC | 2–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs FC Andorra | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Sep | @ Celta de Vigo II | 1–1 | D |
Real Sociedad II – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Girona | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Oct | @ Las Palmas | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Almeria | 2–4 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ Celta de Vigo II | 1–4 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs Granada CF | 2–3 | L |
| 30 Sep | @ Leicester City U21 | 4–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sabadell and Real Sociedad II.
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Sabadell vs Real Sociedad II?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sabadell vs Real Sociedad II?
On our numbers Sabadell have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Real Sociedad II 16%.
How many goals will there be in Sabadell vs Real Sociedad II?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
When is Sabadell vs Real Sociedad II?
Sabadell vs Real Sociedad II (Segunda División) kicks off on Monday 9 November 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.