For experienced punters

Value bets today

Bets where our chance is clearly higher than the bookmaker's price suggests. Higher odds, lower hit rate – the edge shows over many bets, so keep stakes small.

SpainCopa Del Rey3

Anaitasuna Alaves 121474 GGBoth teams to score 60%@2.50 Mijas Las Lagunas Real Jaén 422434 1Mijas Las Lagunas to win 42%@3.50 Amorebieta UD Logroñés 362341 1Amorebieta to win 36%@3.10

ColombiaPrimera A1

FT Junior2 Cucuta0 672013 1Junior to win 67%@1.83 ✓

JamaicaPremier League1

FT Arnett Gardens1 Waterhouse0 342145 1Arnett Gardens to win 34%@3.37 ✓

1

59' Chapulineros1 Cordobés0 642015 1Chapulineros to win 64%@1.83

WorldFriendlies1

Vietnam U23 Thailand U23 622216 GGBoth teams to score 56%@2.01

EnglandProfessional Development League1

Hull City U21 Fleetwood Town U21 611722 1Hull City U21 to win 61%@1.83

AlgeriaLigue 24

WA Tlemcen RC Arba 662113 1WA Tlemcen to win 66%@1.73 Paradou AC JSM Skikda 672013 1Paradou AC to win 67%@1.67 JS Jijel CR Béni Thour 622018 GGBoth teams to score 50%@2.18 MO Bejaia IRB Nezla 662212 GGBoth teams to score 51%@2.11

RomaniaLiga II1

Metalul Buzău CSA Steaua Bucureşti 432235 2CSA Steaua Bucureşti to win 35%@3.35

EnglandEFL Trophy9

Burton Albion Notts County 362143 2Notts County to win 43%@2.90 Bristol Rovers Reading 231463 2Reading to win 63%@1.85 Oxford United Cheltenham 682111 GGBoth teams to score 60%@1.91 Northampton Gillingham 581625 1Northampton to win 58%@1.95 Leicester Walsall 74188 GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.67 Crewe Wigan 572023 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 64%@1.70 Stevenage Fulham U21 642016 O3.5Over 3.5 goals 59%@1.80 Bromley Milton Keynes Dons 231165 2Milton Keynes Dons to win 65%@1.83 Bradford York 671320 1Bradford to win 67%@1.73

EnglandPremier League Cup1

Millwall U21 Brighton U21 261657 2Brighton U21 to win 57%@1.90

EnglandNon League Premier Southern Central1

Leamington Bromsgrove Sporting 191665 2Bromsgrove Sporting to win 65%@1.75

EnglandNon League Premier Southern South2

Bath City Taunton Town 661816 1Bath City to win 66%@1.69 Uxbridge Hanwell Town 662014 1Uxbridge to win 66%@1.68

EnglandNon League Premier Northern1

Bury Cleethorpes Town 602020 1Bury to win 60%@1.85

EnglandNational League North2

Darlington 1883 Oxford City 232157 2Oxford City to win 57%@1.95 Scarborough Athletic Marine 442036 2Marine to win 36%@3.00

EnglandNon League Premier Isthmian1

Chatham Town Leatherhead 441936 2Leatherhead to win 36%@3.00

EuropeUEFA Champions League Women1

Paris Saint Germain W Bayern Munich W 152164 2Bayern Munich W to win 64%@1.75

BrazilCopa Fares Lopes1

Guarani De Juazeiro Quixada 332245 2Quixada to win 45%@2.88

How we find value

Every price hides a chance: odds of 2.50 mean the bookmaker rates the outcome at about 40% (1 ÷ 2.50), plus their margin. When our model rates the same outcome at 46% or more, the bet has value – over hundreds of bets, backing outcomes like this should return more than you stake.

Value bets are listed separately from our main predictions because they lose more often. The results record tracks both, so you can see how each performs.

Frequently asked questions

What makes a value bet?

Our chance must be at least 6% higher than the chance implied by the bookmaker's odds (chance × odds ≥ 1.06), at odds between 1.60 and 4.50.

Will value bets win more often?

No – they win less often than our main picks, because the prices are bigger. The aim is a profit over many bets, not a win every time. Stake small and stay consistent.

Why do draws appear here?

Draws are often under-priced by bookmakers in close games. When our numbers rate a draw clearly higher than its price, it shows up as value.