Liga Nacional · Guatemala · Estadio Pensativo
Antigua GFC
Malacateco
Antigua GFC vs Malacateco prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.23 · Won ✓
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 55% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Antigua GFC 2.0 – 0.7 Malacateco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Antigua GFC are clear favourites at home with a 68% chance of winning, against 11% for Malacateco.
Antigua GFC have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.5 per game. Malacateco have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded. Antigua GFC come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.7 goals (2.0 for Antigua GFC, 0.7 for Malacateco). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 55%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 2–0 (14%), 1–1 (9%).
In their last 3 meetings, Antigua GFC have won 2, Malacateco have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.23 is close to our fair price of 1.35. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 1.93 is our value angle (55% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Antigua GFC to win ✓ | 68% | 1.47 | 1.44 |
| Double chance | Antigua GFC or draw ✓ | 89% | 1.13 | 1.04 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 55% | 1.81 | 1.93 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.35 | 1.23 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 50% | 1.99 | 1.82 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.41 | 1.29 |
| Half-time result | Antigua GFC ahead at half-time ✓ | 48% | 2.07 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Antigua GFC / FT Antigua GFC ✓ | 44% | 2.26 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 14% | 7.31 | – |
Form
Antigua GFC – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ Aurora | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Oct | vs Deportivo San Pedro | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | @ Comunicaciones | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Oct | vs Xelajú | 3–0 | W |
| 15 Oct | @ Guastatoya | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Oct | vs Cobán Imperial | 2–1 | W |
Malacateco – last 6
| 3 Nov | @ Suchitepéquez | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Oct | vs Aurora | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Oct | @ Deportivo San Pedro | 2–2 | D |
| 21 Oct | vs Comunicaciones | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Oct | @ Xelajú | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Guastatoya | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
| 11 Sep 2026 | Malacateco v Antigua GFC | 0–2 |
| 20 Apr 2026 | Antigua GFC v Malacateco | 2–1 |
| 1 Mar 2026 | Malacateco v Antigua GFC | 2–2 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Antigua GFC vs Malacateco?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Antigua GFC vs Malacateco?
On our numbers Antigua GFC have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Malacateco 11%.
How many goals will there be in Antigua GFC vs Malacateco?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
When is Antigua GFC vs Malacateco?
Antigua GFC vs Malacateco (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 9 November 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Pensativo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.