Second League · Bulgaria · Albena Stadium
Fratria
Sportist Svoge
Fratria vs Sportist Svoge prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.34 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 50% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Fratria 1.9 – 0.5 Sportist Svoge expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Fratria are clear favourites at home with a 73% chance of winning, against 9% for Sportist Svoge.
Fratria have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.2 per game. Sportist Svoge have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.9 for Fratria, 0.5 for Sportist Svoge). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 50%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (17%), 2–0 (17%), 3–0 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Fratria have won 1, Sportist Svoge have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 73% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.34 is close to our fair price of 1.38. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.15 is our value angle (50% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Fratria to win ✓ | 73% | 1.37 | 1.27 |
| Double chance | Fratria or draw ✓ | 91% | 1.10 | 1.01 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 50% | 2.00 | 2.15 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.39 | 1.21 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 52% | 1.92 | 1.94 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 73% | 1.38 | 1.34 |
| Half-time result | Fratria ahead at half-time ✗ | 50% | 2.00 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Fratria / FT Fratria ✗ | 47% | 2.13 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 17% | 5.78 | – |
Form
Fratria – last 6
| 28 Oct | vs Montana | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs Botev Vratsa | 1–2 | L |
| 9 Oct | @ Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 0–2 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ Balkan Botevgrad | 3–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | vs Spartak Pleven | 3–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Pirin Blagoevgrad | 2–1 | W |
Sportist Svoge – last 6
| 2 Nov | vs Ludogorets II | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Oct | @ Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Oct | vs Hebar 1918 | 1–3 | L |
| 4 Oct | @ Neftochimic Burgas | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | @ CSKA Sofia II | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Sep | vs Vihren | 3–2 | W |
Head to head
| 28 Feb 2026 | Sportist Svoge v Fratria | 0–3 |
More Second League predictions
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas3
Yantra 20193
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
76%@1.20
✗
FT
CSKA Sofia II3
Rilski Sportist1
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
74%@1.22
✓
FT
Etar Veliko Tarnovo1
Montana1
1Etar Veliko Tarnovo to win
63%@1.61
✗
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Fratria vs Sportist Svoge?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.34.
Who will win Fratria vs Sportist Svoge?
On our numbers Fratria have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Sportist Svoge 9%.
How many goals will there be in Fratria vs Sportist Svoge?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
When is Fratria vs Sportist Svoge?
Fratria vs Sportist Svoge (Second League) kicks off on Monday 9 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Albena Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.