Serie C Girone B · Italy · Mimmo Pavone-Alessandro Mariani

Pineto

LWWDL
1–0
FT

Vis Pesaro

DLLLL

Pineto vs Vis Pesaro prediction & analysis

85%
Footrivo pick

Pineto or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1

Value bet: Pineto to win @ 1.80 – our chance 65% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Quick tips for this match

ResultPineto to win ✓65% · @1.80
Double chancePineto or draw ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 7.26

Win chances

Pineto65%fair 1.53 · @1.80
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.60
Vis Pesaro15%fair 6.89 · @3.90
2.61Expected goals
1.88Pineto xG
0.73Vis Pesaro xG
49%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–07%

From our goals model: Pineto 1.9 – 0.7 Vis Pesaro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Pineto are clear favourites at home with a 65% chance of winning, against 15% for Vis Pesaro.

Pineto have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.2 per game. Vis Pesaro have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.

We expect around 2.6 goals (1.9 for Pineto, 0.7 for Vis Pesaro). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 49%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (10%).

Our pick is Pineto or draw at a 85% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is better than our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Pineto to win at 1.80 is our value angle (65% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPineto to win ✓65%1.531.80 ▲
Double chancePineto or draw ✓85%1.171.25 ▲
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.971.83
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74%1.351.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓50%2.001.95
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.391.33
Half-time resultPineto ahead at half-time ✓46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Pineto / FT Pineto ✓41%2.44–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14%7.26–

Form

Pineto – last 6

LWWDLL
1 Nov@ Ravenna1–2L
23 Octvs Gubbio1–0W
20 Octvs Reggiana2–0W
17 Oct@ Pianese0–0D
4 Oct@ Guidonia Montecelio 19370–1L
26 Sepvs Grosseto0–4L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Vis Pesaro – last 6

DLLLLW
1 Nov@ Gubbio0–0D
28 Oct@ Atalanta II1–2L
24 Octvs Ravenna0–4L
18 Oct@ Latina0–1L
10 Octvs Grosseto2–3L
27 Sepvs Guidonia Montecelio 19372–1W
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Pineto and Vis Pesaro.

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Pineto vs Vis Pesaro?

Our pick is Pineto or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Pineto vs Vis Pesaro?

On our numbers Pineto have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Vis Pesaro 15%.

How many goals will there be in Pineto vs Vis Pesaro?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

When is Pineto vs Vis Pesaro?

Pineto vs Vis Pesaro (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Monday 9 November 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Mimmo Pavone-Alessandro Mariani.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.