Second League A Fall Season Gold · Russia · Central Stadium
Mashuk-KMV
Rodina Moskva II
Mashuk-KMV vs Rodina Moskva II prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
Value bet: Rodina Moskva II to win @ 1.89 – our chance 58% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Mashuk-KMV 1.0 – 1.7 Rodina Moskva II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Rodina Moskva II shade it despite being away from home – 58% to win, against 23% for Mashuk-KMV.
Mashuk-KMV have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (0W 6D 0L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.2 per game. Rodina Moskva II have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.0 for Mashuk-KMV, 1.7 for Rodina Moskva II). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 59%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (12%), 1–1 (11%), 0–2 (10%).
In their last 3 meetings, Mashuk-KMV have won 0, Rodina Moskva II have won 1 and 2 ended level, with an average of 2.7 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.48. For a bigger price, Rodina Moskva II to win at 1.89 is our value angle (58% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Rodina Moskva II to win ✗ | 58% | 1.74 | 1.89 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 81% | 1.24 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 59% | 1.70 | 1.51 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.15 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.86 | 1.59 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.48 | 1.44 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 41% | 2.41 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Rodina Moskva II / FT Rodina Moskva II ✗ | 34% | 2.94 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 12% | 8.42 | – |
Form
Mashuk-KMV – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Novosibirsk | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Oct | vs Dinamo Vladivostok | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Oct | @ Alaniya Vladikavkaz | 3–3 | D |
| 10 Oct | @ Kaluga | 0–0 | D |
| 4 Oct | vs Dinamo Kirov | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | @ FK Sokol Saratov | 0–0 | D |
Rodina Moskva II – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Dinamo Kirov | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Oct | @ FK Sokol Saratov | 0–3 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs Volgar Astrakhan | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Oct | @ Dinamo Bryansk | 3–2 | W |
| 4 Oct | vs Kaluga | 3–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | vs Novosibirsk | 1–3 | L |
Head to head
| 12 Sep 2026 | Rodina Moskva II v Mashuk-KMV | 3–1 |
| 23 May 2026 | Mashuk-KMV v Rodina Moskva II | 2–2 |
| 4 Apr 2026 | Rodina Moskva II v Mashuk-KMV | 0–0 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Mashuk-KMV vs Rodina Moskva II?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Mashuk-KMV vs Rodina Moskva II?
On our numbers Mashuk-KMV have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Rodina Moskva II 58%.
How many goals will there be in Mashuk-KMV vs Rodina Moskva II?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
When is Mashuk-KMV vs Rodina Moskva II?
Mashuk-KMV vs Rodina Moskva II (Second League A Fall Season Gold) kicks off on Monday 9 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Central Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.