Serie C Girone C · Italy · Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio

AZ Picerno

WWLLL
1–1
FT

Bari

DLDDW

AZ Picerno vs Bari prediction & analysis

76%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 56% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Quick tips for this match

ResultBari to win ✗46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.67

Win chances

AZ Picerno30%fair 3.29 · @3.40
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @2.90
Bari46%fair 2.16 · @2.05
2.51Expected goals
1.09AZ Picerno xG
1.42Bari xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
0–112%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–08%

From our goals model: AZ Picerno 1.1 – 1.4 Bari expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Bari shade it despite being away from home – 46% to win, against 30% for AZ Picerno.

AZ Picerno have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.5 per game. Bari have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.

We expect around 2.5 goals (1.1 for AZ Picerno, 1.4 for Bari). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 56%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (12%), 1–2 (9%).

In their last 1 meeting, AZ Picerno have won 0, Bari have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 76% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.31. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.00 is our value angle (56% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBari to win ✗46%2.162.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.311.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.802.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.451.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.781.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.311.22
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bari / FT Bari ✗26%3.80–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12%8.67–

Form

AZ Picerno – last 6

WWLLLW
31 Oct@ Cavese2–1W
26 Octvs Salernitana3–0W
18 Oct@ Barletta0–1L
12 Octvs Cosenza1–2L
4 Oct@ Potenza2–4L
26 Sepvs Audace Cerignola2–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Bari – last 6

DLDDWL
31 Octvs Scafatese1–1D
27 Oct@ Potenza1–2L
23 Oct@ Casertana1–1D
18 Octvs Crotone0–0D
10 Octvs Giugliano2–0W
4 Oct@ Salernitana1–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Sep 2026Bari v AZ Picerno1–1

More Serie C Girone C predictions

FT Team Altamura2 Cavese2 392339 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓ FT Foggia0 Barletta1 452233 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for AZ Picerno vs Bari?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win AZ Picerno vs Bari?

On our numbers AZ Picerno have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bari 46%.

How many goals will there be in AZ Picerno vs Bari?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

When is AZ Picerno vs Bari?

AZ Picerno vs Bari (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Monday 9 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.