EFL Trophy · England · Memorial Stadium

Bristol Rovers

WLDLL
Tue 10 Nov 2026

Reading

WLDWW

Bristol Rovers vs Reading prediction & analysis

63%
Footrivo pick

Reading to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.85

6/10Rating
1.85Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultReading to win63% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score64% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals84% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210% · fair 10.44

Win chances

Bristol Rovers23%fair 4.40 · @3.30
Draw14%fair 7.05 · @3.70
Reading63%fair 1.59 · @1.85
3.49Expected goals
1.23Bristol Rovers xG
2.25Reading xG
64%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
1–37%
0–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Bristol Rovers 1.2 – 2.3 Reading expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Reading travel as clear favourites – 63% to win, against 23% for Bristol Rovers.

Bristol Rovers have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.5 per game. Reading have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. Reading come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 3.5 goals (1.2 for Bristol Rovers, 2.3 for Reading). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–2 (10%), 1–1 (9%), 0–2 (8%).

Our pick is Reading to win at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.85 is better than our fair price of 1.59, so there is value in it.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultReading to win63%1.591.85 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win86%1.171.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score64%1.571.50
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals84%1.191.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals65%1.541.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals56%1.791.62
Half-time resultReading ahead at half-time45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Reading / FT Reading39%2.56–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210%10.44–

Form

Bristol Rovers – last 6

WLDLLL
7 Novvs Cambridge United2–0W
31 Oct@ Fleetwood Town1–3L
24 Octvs Swindon Town0–0D
20 Octvs Salford City1–2L
17 Oct@ Shrewsbury0–1L
10 Octvs Barnet1–3L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Reading – last 6

WLDWWL
7 Nov@ Peterborough5–0W
4 Nov@ Oxford United0–2L
31 Oct@ Plymouth0–0D
24 Octvs Barnsley2–1W
21 Octvs Leyton Orient1–0W
17 Oct@ Wigan0–1L
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Bristol Rovers and Reading.

More EFL Trophy predictions

Crewe Wigan 572023 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 83%@1.22 Mansfield Town Chesterfield 412138 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 67%@1.53 Stockport County Tranmere 682112 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 64%@1.57 Burton Albion Notts County 362143 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.20 Grimsby Nottingham Forest U21 711811 1Grimsby to win 71%@1.38 Huddersfield Liverpool U21 651619 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 75%@1.28 Oxford United Cheltenham 682111 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 70%@1.40 Leicester Walsall 74188 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 77%@1.33

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers vs Reading?

Our pick is Reading to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Bristol Rovers vs Reading?

On our numbers Bristol Rovers have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Reading 63%.

How many goals will there be in Bristol Rovers vs Reading?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

When is Bristol Rovers vs Reading?

Bristol Rovers vs Reading (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 10 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Memorial Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.