Copa Del Rey · Spain · Campo Municipal de Urritxe
Amorebieta
UD Logroñés
Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.25
Value bet: Amorebieta to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Amorebieta 1.3 – 1.4 UD Logroñés expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Amorebieta and UD Logroñés on our numbers – 36% for the home side, 41% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Amorebieta have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (4W 0D 2L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.0 per game. UD Logroñés have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.3 for Amorebieta, 1.4 for UD Logroñés). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 59%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (9%), 1–2 (9%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 75% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.33. For a bigger price, Amorebieta to win at 3.10 is our value angle (36% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | UD Logroñés to win | 41% | 2.41 | 2.10 |
| Double chance | Either team to win | 77% | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score | 59% | 1.68 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 | 1.25 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 70% | 1.43 | 1.36 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time | 42% | 2.38 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT UD Logroñés / FT UD Logroñés | 24% | 4.25 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 | 9% | 10.71 | – |
Form
Amorebieta – last 6
| 7 Nov | @ Basconia | 1–2 | L |
| 1 Nov | vs Gimnástica Torrelavega | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Oct | vs Coruxo | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | @ Gernika | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Portugalete | 1–2 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ Atlético Astorga | 1–0 | W |
UD Logroñés – last 6
| 7 Nov | @ Racing Ferrol | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Oct | vs Mirandes | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Oct | @ Real Avilés | 3–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs Cultural Leonesa | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Oct | @ Lugo | 1–3 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs Deportivo La Coruña II | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Amorebieta and UD Logroñés.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés?
On our numbers Amorebieta have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and UD Logroñés 41%.
How many goals will there be in Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
When is Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés?
Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés (Copa Del Rey) kicks off on Tuesday 10 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Municipal de Urritxe.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.