EFL Trophy · England · Kassam Stadium
Oxford United
Cheltenham
Oxford United vs Cheltenham prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.40
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Oxford United 2.7 – 1.1 Cheltenham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Oxford United are clear favourites at home with a 68% chance of winning, against 11% for Cheltenham.
Oxford United have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.5 per game. Cheltenham have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
We expect around 3.9 goals (2.7 for Oxford United, 1.1 for Cheltenham). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (9%), 3–1 (8%), 2–0 (8%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 70% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.40 is close to our fair price of 1.42. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 1.91 is our value angle (60% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Oxford United to win | 68% | 1.46 | 1.22 |
| Double chance | Oxford United or draw | 89% | 1.12 | 1.03 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score | 60% | 1.67 | 1.91 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 87% | 1.15 | 1.11 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 1.42 | 1.40 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals | 51% | 1.95 | 1.91 |
| Half-time result | Oxford United ahead at half-time | 54% | 1.86 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Oxford United / FT Oxford United | 49% | 2.06 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 | 9% | 11.30 | – |
Form
Oxford United – last 6
| 7 Nov | vs Stevenage | 0–1 | L |
| 4 Nov | vs Reading | 2–0 | W |
| 31 Oct | @ Barnsley | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Oct | vs Stockport County | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Oct | vs Bradford | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Oct | vs Wigan | 2–1 | W |
Cheltenham – last 6
| 7 Nov | vs FC Halifax Town | 2–0 | W |
| 31 Oct | @ Tranmere | 1–3 | L |
| 24 Oct | vs Newport County | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Oct | vs Fleetwood Town | 4–2 | W |
| 17 Oct | @ Oldham | 1–4 | L |
| 13 Oct | vs Tottenham Hotspur U21 | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oxford United and Cheltenham.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Oxford United vs Cheltenham?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Oxford United vs Cheltenham?
On our numbers Oxford United have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cheltenham 11%.
How many goals will there be in Oxford United vs Cheltenham?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
When is Oxford United vs Cheltenham?
Oxford United vs Cheltenham (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 10 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Kassam Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.