Copa Del Rey · Spain

Mijas Las Lagunas

DDDWW
Tue 10 Nov 2026

Real Jaén

LWDWD

Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén prediction & analysis

73%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.28

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
1

Value bet: Mijas Las Lagunas to win @ 3.50 – our chance 42% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +46%). Bigger price, more risk.

Quick tips for this match

ResultMijas Las Lagunas to win42% · @3.50
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–010% · fair 9.89

Win chances

Mijas Las Lagunas42%fair 2.39 · @3.50
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.30
Real Jaén34%fair 2.90 · @2.00
2.62Expected goals
1.39Mijas Las Lagunas xG
1.23Real Jaén xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%

From our goals model: Mijas Las Lagunas 1.4 – 1.2 Real Jaén expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Mijas Las Lagunas hold the edge on home soil with a 42% chance of winning, against 34% for Real Jaén.

Mijas Las Lagunas have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (2W 4D 0L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.0 per game. Real Jaén have 9 points from their last 6 (2W 3D 1L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.

We expect around 2.6 goals (1.4 for Mijas Las Lagunas, 1.2 for Real Jaén). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 57%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (10%), 0–1 (9%).

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 73% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.28 is close to our fair price of 1.36. For a bigger price, Mijas Las Lagunas to win at 3.50 is our value angle (42% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMijas Las Lagunas to win42%2.393.50 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win76%1.311.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score57%1.761.75
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals73%1.361.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals51%1.951.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals72%1.391.33
Half-time resultLevel at half-time43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Mijas Las Lagunas / FT Mijas Las Lagunas24%4.22–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–010%9.89–

Form

Mijas Las Lagunas – last 6

DDDWWD
7 Nov@ Recreativo Huelva1–1D
1 Nov@ Marbella0–0D
24 Octvs Real Betis II1–1D
18 Oct@ Tenerife II3–1W
11 Octvs Sevilla Atletico3–1W
4 Oct@ Sanluqueño2–2D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Real Jaén – last 6

LWDWDD
7 Nov@ Alcorcon3–4L
2 Novvs Algeciras3–2W
25 Oct@ Atlético Madrid II1–1D
18 Octvs Rayo Majadahonda1–0W
10 Octvs Villarreal II3–3D
3 Oct@ Hércules0–0D
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Mijas Las Lagunas and Real Jaén.

More Copa Del Rey predictions

Anaitasuna Alaves 121474 O3.5Over 3.5 goals 70%@1.44 Pamplona Eibar 71777 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 62%@1.50 Amorebieta UD Logroñés 362341 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.25 Trival Valderas Leganes 62074 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 65%@1.44

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén?

On our numbers Mijas Las Lagunas have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Real Jaén 34%.

How many goals will there be in Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

When is Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén?

Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén (Copa Del Rey) kicks off on Tuesday 10 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.