Copa Del Rey · Spain · Campo Txerloia
Anaitasuna
Alaves
Anaitasuna vs Alaves prediction & analysis
Over 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.44
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.50 – our chance 60% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +49%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Anaitasuna 1.6 – 3.6 Alaves expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Alaves travel as clear favourites – 74% to win, against 12% for Anaitasuna.
Anaitasuna have taken 6 points from their last 2 matches (2W 0D 0L), scoring 5.0 and conceding 1.0 per game. Alaves have 3 points from their last 6 (0W 3D 3L), averaging 0.7 scored and 1.8 conceded. Anaitasuna come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 5.2 goals (1.6 for Anaitasuna, 3.6 for Alaves). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 85% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–3 (7%), 1–4 (6%), 1–2 (6%).
Our pick is Over 3.5 goals at a 70% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.42. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.50 is our value angle (60% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Alaves to win | 74% | 1.35 | 1.04 |
| Double chance | Alaves or draw | 88% | 1.14 | 1.01 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score | 60% | 1.68 | 2.50 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 95% | 1.06 | 1.04 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals | 85% | 1.18 | 1.17 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals | 70% | 1.42 | 1.44 |
| Half-time result | Alaves ahead at half-time | 58% | 1.71 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Alaves / FT Alaves | 53% | 1.89 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–3 | 7% | 14.48 | – |
Form
Anaitasuna – last 2
| 3 Oct | @ Tedeón | 5–2 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs Tedeón | 5–0 | W |
Alaves – last 6
| 6 Nov | @ Sevilla | 0–0 | D |
| 31 Oct | @ Barcelona | 1–6 | L |
| 23 Oct | vs Malaga | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Oct | @ Celta Vigo | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Atletico Madrid | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ Athletic Club | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Anaitasuna and Alaves.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Anaitasuna vs Alaves?
Our pick is Over 3.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Anaitasuna vs Alaves?
On our numbers Anaitasuna have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Alaves 74%.
How many goals will there be in Anaitasuna vs Alaves?
We expect about 5.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 85% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
When is Anaitasuna vs Alaves?
Anaitasuna vs Alaves (Copa Del Rey) kicks off on Tuesday 10 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Txerloia.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.