Premier League Cup · England
Millwall U21
Brighton U21
Millwall U21 vs Brighton U21 prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.44
Value bet: Brighton U21 to win @ 1.90 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Millwall U21 0.9 – 1.6 Brighton U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Brighton U21 shade it despite being away from home – 57% to win, against 26% for Millwall U21.
Millwall U21 have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.0 per game. Brighton U21 have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 2.2 scored and 3.5 conceded.
We expect around 2.5 goals (0.9 for Millwall U21, 1.6 for Brighton U21). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 0–1 (13%), 1–1 (12%), 0–2 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Millwall U21 have won 0, Brighton U21 have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 69% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.45. For a bigger price, Brighton U21 to win at 1.90 is our value angle (57% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Brighton U21 to win | 57% | 1.74 | 1.90 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win | 84% | 1.20 | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score | 57% | 1.76 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 | 1.14 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.91 | 1.56 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 | 1.44 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time | 43% | 2.32 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Brighton U21 / FT Brighton U21 | 32% | 3.10 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 | 13% | 7.80 | – |
Form
Millwall U21 – last 6
| 6 Nov | vs Cardiff City U21 | 3–0 | W |
| 27 Oct | @ Bristol City U21 | 3–1 | W |
| 9 Oct | vs West Ham United U21 | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Sep | @ Charlton Athletic U21 | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Sep | vs Bolton Wanderers Res. | 0–3 | L |
| 1 Sep | @ Fleetwood Town U21 | 0–1 | L |
Brighton U21 – last 6
| 3 Nov | @ Cambridge United | 0–6 | L |
| 23 Oct | @ Fulham U21 | 4–2 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs AFC Bournemouth U21 | 3–3 | D |
| 13 Oct | @ Gillingham | 3–4 | L |
| 9 Oct | vs Sheffield United U21 | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Liverpool U21 | 1–5 | L |
Head to head
| 14 Aug 2026 | Brighton U21 v Millwall U21 | 2–0 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Millwall U21 vs Brighton U21?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Millwall U21 vs Brighton U21?
On our numbers Millwall U21 have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Brighton U21 57%.
How many goals will there be in Millwall U21 vs Brighton U21?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is Millwall U21 vs Brighton U21?
Millwall U21 vs Brighton U21 (Premier League Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 10 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.