EFL Trophy · England · King Power Stadium
Leicester
Walsall
Leicester vs Walsall prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.33
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.67 – our chance 66% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Leicester 3.3 – 1.3 Walsall expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Leicester are clear favourites at home with a 74% chance of winning, against 8% for Walsall.
Leicester have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 2.7 and conceding 1.2 per game. Walsall have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 2.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
We expect around 4.6 goals (3.3 for Leicester, 1.3 for Walsall). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 3–1 (8%), 2–1 (7%), 4–1 (6%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 77% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.33 is better than our fair price of 1.29, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 1.67 is our value angle (66% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Leicester to win | 74% | 1.36 | 1.27 |
| Double chance | Leicester or draw | 92% | 1.09 | 1.06 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score | 66% | 1.51 | 1.67 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 90% | 1.11 | 1.10 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals | 77% | 1.29 | 1.33 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals | 59% | 1.71 | 1.83 ▲ |
| Half-time result | Leicester ahead at half-time | 59% | 1.70 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Leicester / FT Leicester | 54% | 1.85 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 3–1 | 8% | 12.73 | – |
Form
Leicester – last 6
| 6 Nov | @ Oxford City | 4–2 | W |
| 31 Oct | vs Stevenage | 2–2 | D |
| 27 Oct | vs Wigan | 3–0 | W |
| 24 Oct | @ Luton | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Oct | @ Bromley | 4–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Doncaster | 2–1 | W |
Walsall – last 6
| 7 Nov | @ Newport County | 1–3 | L |
| 31 Oct | @ Colchester | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Oct | vs Salford City | 2–4 | L |
| 20 Oct | vs Oldham | 3–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | @ Swindon Town | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Oct | vs Fulham U21 | 3–2 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leicester and Walsall.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Leicester vs Walsall?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Leicester vs Walsall?
On our numbers Leicester have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Walsall 8%.
How many goals will there be in Leicester vs Walsall?
We expect about 4.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
When is Leicester vs Walsall?
Leicester vs Walsall (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 10 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at King Power Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.