EFL Trophy · England · Broadhall Way
Stevenage
Fulham U21
Stevenage vs Fulham U21 prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.33
Value bet: Over 3.5 goals @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Stevenage 3.0 – 1.6 Fulham U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Stevenage are clear favourites at home with a 64% chance of winning, against 16% for Fulham U21.
Stevenage have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.8 per game. Fulham U21 have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 2.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
We expect around 4.6 goals (3.0 for Stevenage, 1.6 for Fulham U21). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 3–1 (7%), 2–1 (7%), 3–2 (6%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 77% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.33 is better than our fair price of 1.29, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Over 3.5 goals at 1.80 is our value angle (59% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Stevenage to win | 64% | 1.56 | 1.36 |
| Double chance | Stevenage or draw | 84% | 1.19 | 1.08 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score | 67% | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 90% | 1.11 | 1.08 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals | 77% | 1.29 | 1.33 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals | 59% | 1.69 | 1.80 ▲ |
| Half-time result | Stevenage ahead at half-time | 52% | 1.94 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Stevenage / FT Stevenage | 45% | 2.22 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 3–1 | 7% | 13.73 | – |
Form
Stevenage – last 6
| 7 Nov | @ Oxford United | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Oct | @ Leicester | 2–2 | D |
| 24 Oct | vs Milton Keynes Dons | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Oct | vs Plymouth | 3–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | @ Bradford | 0–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Wigan | 1–0 | W |
Fulham U21 – last 6
| 6 Nov | @ Stoke City U21 | 4–1 | W |
| 3 Nov | @ Worthing | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Oct | vs Brighton U21 | 2–4 | L |
| 18 Oct | @ Brentford U21 | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Oct | @ Walsall | 2–3 | L |
| 6 Oct | @ AFC Hornchurch | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stevenage and Fulham U21.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Stevenage vs Fulham U21?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Stevenage vs Fulham U21?
On our numbers Stevenage have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Fulham U21 16%.
How many goals will there be in Stevenage vs Fulham U21?
We expect about 4.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
When is Stevenage vs Fulham U21?
Stevenage vs Fulham U21 (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 10 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Broadhall Way.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.