EFL Trophy · England · Alexandra Stadium

Crewe

WDLLW
Tue 10 Nov 2026

Wigan

WDWLL

Crewe vs Wigan prediction & analysis

83%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22

10/10Rating
1.22Odds
O2.5

Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.70 – our chance 64% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.

Quick tips for this match

ResultCrewe to win57% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score63% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals83% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.25

Win chances

Crewe57%fair 1.76 · @1.91
Draw20%fair 5.09 · @3.30
Wigan23%fair 4.27 · @3.50
3.82Expected goals
2.35Crewe xG
1.47Wigan xG
63%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–27%
2–06%
1–26%

From our goals model: Crewe 2.3 – 1.5 Wigan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Crewe hold the edge on home soil with a 57% chance of winning, against 23% for Wigan.

Crewe have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.8 per game. Wigan have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.

We expect around 3.8 goals (2.3 for Crewe, 1.5 for Wigan). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (9%), 1–1 (8%), 3–1 (7%).

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 83% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.20. For a bigger price, Over 2.5 goals at 1.70 is our value angle (64% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCrewe to win57%1.761.91 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win80%1.241.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score63%1.581.62
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals83%1.201.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals64%1.551.70 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals56%1.791.44
Half-time resultCrewe ahead at half-time44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Crewe / FT Crewe37%2.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%11.25–

Form

Crewe – last 6

WDLLWW
7 Novvs AFC Wimbledon2–1W
31 Octvs Barnet1–1D
24 Oct@ Chesterfield1–5L
20 Oct@ Exeter City0–2L
17 Octvs Rochdale3–2W
10 Oct@ Swindon Town1–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Wigan – last 6

WDWLLL
7 Nov@ Boreham Wood3–0W
3 Novvs Mansfield Town0–0D
31 Octvs Bromley3–2W
27 Oct@ Leicester0–3L
24 Oct@ Huddersfield1–2L
20 Oct@ Oxford United1–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Crewe and Wigan.

More EFL Trophy predictions

Mansfield Town Chesterfield 412138 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 67%@1.53 Stockport County Tranmere 682112 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 64%@1.57 Burton Albion Notts County 362143 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.20 Grimsby Nottingham Forest U21 711811 1Grimsby to win 71%@1.38 Huddersfield Liverpool U21 651619 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 75%@1.28 Oxford United Cheltenham 682111 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 70%@1.40 Leicester Walsall 74188 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 77%@1.33 Stevenage Fulham U21 642016 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 77%@1.33

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Crewe vs Wigan?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Crewe vs Wigan?

On our numbers Crewe have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Wigan 23%.

How many goals will there be in Crewe vs Wigan?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

When is Crewe vs Wigan?

Crewe vs Wigan (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 10 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Alexandra Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.