Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 54% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultZamora to win42% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–013% · fair 7.83
Zamora vs Cacereño preview and prediction
The match
Cacereño travel to Estadio Ruta de la Plata in the Primera División RFEF Group 1 on Sunday 17 May (16:00 WAT) to face Zamora. Zamora are 16th with 12 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Cacereño sit 10th on 15 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Zamora's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Lugo 3–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Cacereño's last 5: WLWLD Most recently they beat Arenteiro 4–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Zamora arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Zamora and 1.0 for Cacereño. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 36%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Zamora 42%, draw 23%, Cacereño 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.20.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.20 – 54% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Zamora 1–1 Cacereño. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Zamora42%fair 2.36 · @2.60
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @2.95
Cacereño34%fair 2.93 · @2.65
2.25Expected goals
1.21Zamora xG
1.04Cacereño xG
54%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Zamora 1.2 – 1.0 Cacereño expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zamora to win
42%
2.36
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
77%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
54%
1.86
2.20 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
63%
1.60
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
64%
1.57
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
80%
1.25
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zamora / FT Zamora
23%
4.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
13%
7.83
–
Form
Zamora – last 6
WWLWDL
10 May
@ Lugo
3–1
W
19 Apr
vs Osasuna II
1–0
W
5 Apr
vs Unionistas de Salamanca
2–3
L
8 Mar
@ Real Avilés
2–0
W
1 Mar
vs Guadalajara
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Athletic Club II
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Cacereño – last 6
WLWLDL
3 May
@ Arenteiro
4–0
W
17 Apr
@ Celta de Vigo II
0–3
L
10 Apr
vs Athletic Club II
1–0
W
29 Mar
vs Lugo
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Ponferradina
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Mérida AD
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zamora and Cacereño.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Zamora vs Cacereño?
On our numbers Zamora have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cacereño 34%.
How many goals will there be in Zamora vs Cacereño?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zamora vs Cacereño?
Our predicted score is Zamora 1–1 Cacereño, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Zamora vs Cacereño?
Zamora vs Cacereño (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ruta de la Plata.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.