Racing Ferrol vs Osasuna II preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División RFEF Group 1 sees Racing Ferrol take on Osasuna II on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal da Malata.
Form guide
Racing Ferrol's last 4: DWLL Most recently they drew with Arenas Getxo 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Osasuna II's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat CF Talavera 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Osasuna II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Racing Ferrol and 1.2 for Osasuna II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 57%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Racing Ferrol 35%, draw 24%, Osasuna II 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Racing Ferrol 1–1 Osasuna II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Racing Ferrol35%fair 2.84 · @2.88
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.25
Osasuna II41%fair 2.44 · @2.25
2.28Expected goals
1.08Racing Ferrol xG
1.20Osasuna II xG
57%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Racing Ferrol 1.1 – 1.2 Osasuna II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Osasuna II to win✗
41%
2.44
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Osasuna II / FT Osasuna II✗
22%
4.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.18
–
Form
Racing Ferrol – last 4
DWLL
8 May
@ Arenas Getxo
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Athletic Club II
1–0
W
3 Apr
@ Guadalajara
0–1
L
20 Feb
vs Celta de Vigo II
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Osasuna II – last 6
WWLWWL
10 May
vs CF Talavera
2–1
W
1 May
@ Celta de Vigo II
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Zamora
0–1
L
5 Apr
@ Lugo
1–0
W
29 Mar
vs Guadalajara
4–3
W
22 Mar
@ Tenerife
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Racing Ferrol and Osasuna II.
What is the prediction for Racing Ferrol vs Osasuna II?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Racing Ferrol vs Osasuna II?
On our numbers Racing Ferrol have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Osasuna II 41%.
How many goals will there be in Racing Ferrol vs Osasuna II?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Racing Ferrol vs Osasuna II?
Our predicted score is Racing Ferrol 1–1 Osasuna II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Racing Ferrol vs Osasuna II?
Racing Ferrol vs Osasuna II (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal da Malata.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Arenteiro0
Celta de Vigo II0
CF Talavera0
Ourense CF0
Real Madrid II3
Tenerife3