Real Madrid II vs Arenas Getxo prediction & analysis
77%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.22
8/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.30 – our chance 52% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultReal Madrid II to win66% · @1.22
Double chanceReal Madrid II or draw85% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @2.30
GoalsOver 1.5 goals77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–012% · fair 8.27
Real Madrid II vs Arenas Getxo preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División RFEF Group 1 sees Real Madrid II take on Arenas Getxo on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Estadio Alfredo Di Stéfano.
Form guide
Real Madrid II's last 5: DWLLW Most recently they drew with Ourense CF 1–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Arenas Getxo's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Racing Ferrol 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Arenas Getxo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Real Madrid II and 0.8 for Arenas Getxo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Real Madrid II 66%, draw 19%, Arenas Getxo 15%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.30.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.30 – 52% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Real Madrid II 2–0 Arenas Getxo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Real Madrid II66%fair 1.51 · @1.22
Draw19%fair 5.28 · @4.80
Arenas Getxo15%fair 6.65 · @13.00
2.80Expected goals
2.00Real Madrid II xG
0.81Arenas Getxo xG
52%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Real Madrid II 2.0 – 0.8 Arenas Getxo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Madrid II to win
66%
1.51
1.22
Double chance
Real Madrid II or draw
85%
1.18
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
52%
1.91
2.30 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
77%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
54%
1.85
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
67%
1.49
1.42
Half-time result
Real Madrid II ahead at half-time
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Madrid II / FT Real Madrid II
42%
2.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
12%
8.27
–
Form
Real Madrid II – last 5
DWLLW
14 Apr
vs Ourense CF
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Celta de Vigo II
5–1
W
27 Mar
@ Barakaldo
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Ponferradina
0–1
L
13 Feb
vs Athletic Club II
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Arenas Getxo – last 6
DWWWDD
8 May
vs Racing Ferrol
1–1
D
24 Apr
vs Mérida AD
2–0
W
8 Apr
vs Pontevedra
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Arenteiro
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ Lugo
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Athletic Club II
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Madrid II and Arenas Getxo.
What is the prediction for Real Madrid II vs Arenas Getxo?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Real Madrid II vs Arenas Getxo?
On our numbers Real Madrid II have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Arenas Getxo 15%.
How many goals will there be in Real Madrid II vs Arenas Getxo?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Madrid II vs Arenas Getxo?
Our predicted score is Real Madrid II 2–0 Arenas Getxo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Real Madrid II vs Arenas Getxo?
Real Madrid II vs Arenas Getxo (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alfredo Di Stéfano.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.