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Primera División RFEF Group 1 · Spain · Estadio Romano Jose Fouto

Mérida AD

LLWDL
1–1
–

Unionistas de Salamanca

WLDW

Mérida AD vs Unionistas de Salamanca prediction & analysis

78%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk.

Quick tips for this match

ResultMérida AD to win37% · @2.33
Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–011% · fair 9.09

Mérida AD vs Unionistas de Salamanca preview and prediction

The match

Unionistas de Salamanca travel to Estadio Romano Jose Fouto in the Primera División RFEF Group 1 on Sunday 17 May (16:00 WAT) to face Mérida AD. Mérida AD are 8th with 16 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Unionistas de Salamanca sit 15th on 13 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

Mérida AD's last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to Barakaldo 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.

Unionistas de Salamanca's last 4: WLDW Most recently they beat Zamora 3–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Unionistas de Salamanca arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Mérida AD and 1.2 for Unionistas de Salamanca. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 53%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Mérida AD 1–1 Unionistas de Salamanca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Mérida AD37%fair 2.68 · @2.33
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @2.95
Unionistas de Salamanca37%fair 2.69 · @3.00
2.38Expected goals
1.19Mérida AD xG
1.19Unionistas de Salamanca xG
53%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%

From our goals model: Mérida AD 1.2 – 1.2 Unionistas de Salamanca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMérida AD to win37%2.682.33
Double chanceEither team to win75%1.341.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score53%1.872.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals65%1.531.50
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals61%1.641.45
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals78%1.281.20
Half-time resultLevel at half-time45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Mérida AD / FT Mérida AD21%4.86–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–011%9.09–

Form

Mérida AD – last 6

LLWDLW
9 May@ Barakaldo0–2L
24 Apr@ Arenas Getxo0–2L
19 Apr@ Arenteiro2–0W
20 Mar@ Athletic Club II1–1D
13 Marvs Guadalajara1–4L
22 Febvs Cacereño1–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Unionistas de Salamanca – last 4

WLDW
5 Apr@ Zamora3–2W
15 Marvs Barakaldo0–3L
8 Mar@ Pontevedra0–0D
15 Feb@ Osasuna II2–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Mérida AD and Unionistas de Salamanca.

Mérida AD vs Unionistas de Salamanca head-to-head page →

Primera División RFEF Group 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Lugo11911+1028
2UD Logroñés11722+823
3Pontevedra11533+218
4Real Avilés11524+817
5Mirandes11524+117
6Racing Ferrol11524+117
7Extremadura 192411515+616
8Mérida AD11515+416
9Athletic Club II11434+215
10Cacereño11434015
11Ponferradina11362015
12Barakaldo11353014
13Real Unión11344013
14Cultural Leonesa11344013
15Unionistas de Salamanca11416-513
16Zamora11335-212
17CD Coria11335-312
18Deportivo La Coruña II11326-711
19Arenas Getxo11326-1311
20UD Ourense11227-128

More Primera División RFEF Group 1 predictions

League hub
– Arenteiro0 Ponferradina1 113%4.75X23%3.30264%1.67 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 80%@1.20
– Celta de Vigo II0 Lugo1 164%1.80X21%3.30215%4.10 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.22
– CF Talavera0 Ourense CF0 145%2.10X22%3.10233%3.25 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.22
FT Racing Ferrol0 Osasuna II0 135%2.88X24%3.25241%2.25 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.25 ✓
– Real Avilés1 Barakaldo4 136%2.80X24%3.10240%2.38 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.25
– Real Madrid II3 Arenas Getxo3 166%1.22X19%4.80215%13.00 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.22
FT Tenerife3 Pontevedra0 142%2.15X24%3.20234%3.20 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.25 ✓
– Zamora1 Cacereño2 142%2.60X23%2.95234%2.65 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 63%@1.57

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mérida AD vs Unionistas de Salamanca?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Mérida AD vs Unionistas de Salamanca?

On our numbers Mérida AD have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Unionistas de Salamanca 37%.

How many goals will there be in Mérida AD vs Unionistas de Salamanca?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mérida AD vs Unionistas de Salamanca?

Our predicted score is Mérida AD 1–1 Unionistas de Salamanca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Mérida AD vs Unionistas de Salamanca?

Mérida AD vs Unionistas de Salamanca (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Romano Jose Fouto.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.