Value bet: Pontevedra to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTenerife to win ✓42% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.16
Tenerife vs Pontevedra preview and prediction
The match
Tenerife host Pontevedra in the Primera División RFEF Group 1 on Sunday 17 May, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz.
Form guide
Tenerife's last 4: WWDD Most recently they beat Barakaldo 2–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Tenerife and 1.1 for Pontevedra. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 53%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Pontevedra to win at 3.20 – 34% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Tenerife 1–1 Pontevedra. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tenerife42%fair 2.39 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.20
Pontevedra34%fair 2.93 · @3.20
2.31Expected goals
1.23Tenerife xG
1.08Pontevedra xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Tenerife 1.2 – 1.1 Pontevedra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tenerife to win✓
42%
2.39
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tenerife / FT Tenerife✓
23%
4.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.16
–
Form
Tenerife – last 4
WWDD
1 May
vs Barakaldo
2–0
W
22 Mar
vs Osasuna II
1–0
W
13 Mar
@ Celta de Vigo II
1–1
D
27 Feb
vs Real Avilés
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Pontevedra – last 2
LD
8 Apr
@ Arenas Getxo
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Unionistas de Salamanca
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tenerife and Pontevedra.
What is the prediction for Tenerife vs Pontevedra?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Tenerife vs Pontevedra?
On our numbers Tenerife have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Pontevedra 34%.
How many goals will there be in Tenerife vs Pontevedra?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tenerife vs Pontevedra?
Our predicted score is Tenerife 1–1 Pontevedra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Tenerife vs Pontevedra?
Tenerife vs Pontevedra (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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Celta de Vigo II0
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