Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBelgium to win ✓62% · @1.50
Double chanceBelgium or draw ✓82% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.99
Belgium vs Türkiye preview and prediction
The match
Belgium host Türkiye in the UEFA Nations League on Friday 2 October, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Stade Maurice Dufrasne. Belgium are 3rd with 6 points from 4 games, while Türkiye sit 4th on 0 points.
Form guide
Belgium's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to France 0–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Türkiye's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Italy 1–4 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Belgium arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Belgium and 0.7 for Türkiye. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Belgium 62%, draw 20%, Türkiye 18%.
Safer route: Belgium or draw (82%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Belgium to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Belgium 1–0 Türkiye. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Belgium62%fair 1.61 · @1.50
Draw20%fair 5.06 · @4.33
Türkiye18%fair 5.53 · @5.00
2.25Expected goals
1.58Belgium xG
0.67Türkiye xG
54%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–013%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Belgium 1.6 – 0.7 Türkiye expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Belgium to win✓
62%
1.61
1.50
Double chance
Belgium or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.87
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Belgium / FT Belgium✓
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.99
–
Form
Belgium – last 6
LWLWDW
28 Sep
vs France
0–1
L
25 Sep
@ Italy
2–0
W
10 Jul
@ Spain
1–2
L
7 Jul
@ USA
4–1
W
1 Jul
vs Senegal
2–2
D
27 Jun
@ New Zealand
5–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Türkiye – last 6
LLWLLW
28 Sep
vs Italy
1–4
L
25 Sep
vs France
0–1
L
26 Jun
vs USA
3–2
W
20 Jun
vs Paraguay
0–1
L
14 Jun
@ Australia
0–2
L
6 Jun
@ Venezuela
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Belgium and Türkiye.
Our pick is Belgium to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Belgium vs Türkiye?
On our numbers Belgium have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Türkiye 18%.
How many goals will there be in Belgium vs Türkiye?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Belgium vs Türkiye?
Our predicted score is Belgium 1–0 Türkiye, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Belgium vs Türkiye?
Belgium vs Türkiye (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Maurice Dufrasne.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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