Hungary vs Georgia prediction & analysis
Not both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Hungary 0.3 – 0.2 Georgia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Hungary hold the edge on home soil with a 44% chance of winning, against 34% for Georgia.
Hungary have taken 8 points from their last 5 matches (2W 2D 1L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.6 per game. Georgia have 9 points from their last 6 (2W 3D 1L), averaging 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded.
We expect around 0.5 goals (0.3 for Hungary, 0.2 for Georgia). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 99% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more likely outcome. Most likely scores: 0–0 (61%), 1–0 (19%), 0–1 (11%).
Our pick is Not both teams to score at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.85 is better than our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Hungary to win ✓ | 44% | 2.27 | 2.05 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.29 | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 63% | 1.58 | 1.85 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Under 1.5 goals ✓ | 91% | 1.10 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 99% | 1.01 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 100% | 1.00 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 81% | 1.23 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Draw / FT Draw ✗ | 62% | 1.60 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✓ | 19% | 5.24 | – |
Form
Hungary – last 5
| 28 Sep | @ Northern Ireland | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Sep | vs Ukraine | 0–1 | L |
| 9 Jun | vs Kazakhstan | 3–1 | W |
| 5 Jun | vs Finland | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Mar | vs Greece | 0–0 | D |
Georgia – last 6
| 28 Sep | vs Ukraine | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Sep | vs Northern Ireland | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Jun | vs Bahrain | 2–0 | W |
| 2 Jun | vs Romania | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Mar | @ Lithuania | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Mar | vs Israel | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hungary and Georgia.
UEFA Nations League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Northern Ireland | 4 | +4 | 8 |
| 2 |  Hungary | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 3 |  Ukraine | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 4 |  Georgia | 4 | -2 | 2 |
More UEFA Nations League predictions
League hub
Kazakhstan1
Moldova2
Cyprus2
Armenia0
Latvia1
Montenegro2
France1
Italy1
Belgium3
Türkiye0
Poland6
Romania0
Bosnia & Herzegovina1
Sweden1Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Hungary vs Georgia?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Hungary vs Georgia?
On our numbers Hungary have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Georgia 34%.
How many goals will there be in Hungary vs Georgia?
We expect about 0.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 1% likely and both teams score 37% of the time on our projection.
When is Hungary vs Georgia?
Hungary vs Georgia (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Puskás Aréna.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.