Cyprus vs Armenia prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.78 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Armenia to win @ 3.00 – our chance 40% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Cyprus 1.2 – 1.3 Armenia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Cyprus and Armenia on our numbers – 35% for the home side, 40% for the visitors and 25% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Cyprus have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.0 per game. Armenia have 5 points from their last 5 (1W 2D 2L), averaging 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.2 for Cyprus, 1.3 for Armenia). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 56%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (11%), 1–0 (10%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 56% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.75 is close to our fair price of 1.78. For a bigger price, Armenia to win at 3.00 is our value angle (40% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Armenia to win ✗ | 40% | 2.49 | 3.00 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 75% | 1.33 | 1.35 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 56% | 1.78 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.40 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.27 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Armenia / FT Armenia ✗ | 22% | 4.45 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 11% | 9.36 | – |
Form
Cyprus – last 6
| 28 Sep | @ Latvia | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Sep | @ Montenegro | 1–2 | L |
| 7 Jun | @ Liechtenstein | 2–0 | W |
| 4 Jun | @ Slovenia | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Mar | vs Moldova | 3–2 | W |
| 26 Mar | vs Belarus | 0–1 | L |
Armenia – last 5
| 28 Sep | vs Montenegro | 2–3 | L |
| 25 Sep | vs Latvia | 2–0 | W |
| 9 Jun | vs Moldova | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Jun | vs Kazakhstan | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Mar | vs Belarus | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cyprus and Armenia.
UEFA Nations League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Montenegro | 4 | +3 | 10 |
| 2 |  Cyprus | 4 | +2 | 7 |
| 3 |  Armenia | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 |  Latvia | 4 | -4 | 1 |
More UEFA Nations League predictions
League hub
Kazakhstan1
Moldova2
France1
Italy1
Belgium3
Türkiye0
Hungary1
Georgia0
Ukraine0
Northern Ireland3
Poland6
Romania0
Bosnia & Herzegovina1
Sweden1Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Cyprus vs Armenia?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Cyprus vs Armenia?
On our numbers Cyprus have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Armenia 40%.
How many goals will there be in Cyprus vs Armenia?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Cyprus vs Armenia?
Cyprus vs Armenia (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at GSP Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.