Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Sweden prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Bosnia & Herzegovina 1.6 – 1.7 Sweden expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Bosnia & Herzegovina and Sweden on our numbers – 36% for the home side, 41% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Bosnia & Herzegovina have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.7 per game. Sweden have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 2.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
We expect around 3.3 goals (1.6 for Bosnia & Herzegovina, 1.7 for Sweden). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10%), 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 62% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.57 is close to our fair price of 1.61.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Sweden to win ✗ | 41% | 2.42 | 2.40 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 62% | 1.61 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 84% | 1.20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 63% | 1.59 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.69 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 38% | 2.65 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Sweden / FT Sweden ✗ | 25% | 4.05 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 11.57 | – |
Form
Bosnia & Herzegovina – last 6
| 28 Sep | @ Romania | 4–2 | W |
| 25 Sep | @ Poland | 0–0 | D |
| 2 Jul | @ USA | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Jun | vs Qatar | 3–1 | W |
| 18 Jun | @ Switzerland | 1–4 | L |
| 12 Jun | @ Canada | 1–1 | D |
Sweden – last 6
| 28 Sep | vs Poland | 3–1 | W |
| 25 Sep | vs Romania | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Jun | @ France | 0–3 | L |
| 26 Jun | @ Japan | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Jun | @ Netherlands | 1–5 | L |
| 15 Jun | vs Tunisia | 5–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bosnia & Herzegovina and Sweden.
UEFA Nations League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sweden | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 2 |  Bosnia & Herzegovina | 4 | +3 | 8 |
| 3 |  Poland | 4 | +3 | 4 |
| 4 |  Romania | 4 | -10 | 0 |
More UEFA Nations League predictions
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Northern Ireland3Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Sweden?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Sweden?
On our numbers Bosnia & Herzegovina have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sweden 41%.
How many goals will there be in Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Sweden?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
When is Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Sweden?
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Sweden (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Bilino Polje.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.