Moldova host Faroe Islands in the UEFA Nations League on Tuesday 29 September, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Zimbru. Moldova are 3rd with 4 points from 4 games, while Faroe Islands sit 2nd on 4 points. Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Moldova's last 5: LDDLL Most recently they lost to Slovakia 0–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Faroe Islands's last 3: DWL Most recently they drew with Kazakhstan 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Faroe Islands arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.0 for Moldova and 1.0 for Faroe Islands. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Moldova 35%, draw 26%, Faroe Islands 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.05.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 2.05, above our fair price of 1.87, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Moldova 1–1 Faroe Islands. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Moldova35%fair 2.88 · @2.70
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @2.88
Faroe Islands39%fair 2.53 · @2.62
2.00Expected goals
0.95Moldova xG
1.05Faroe Islands xG
53%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–014%
1–114%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Moldova 1.0 – 1.0 Faroe Islands expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Faroe Islands to win✗
39%
2.53
2.62
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.07
–
Form
Moldova – last 5
LDDLL
26 Sep
@ Slovakia
0–2
L
9 Jun
@ Armenia
1–1
D
5 Jun
vs Bulgaria
2–2
D
30 Mar
@ Cyprus
2–3
L
26 Mar
vs Lithuania
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Faroe Islands – last 3
DWL
26 Sep
vs Kazakhstan
1–1
D
9 Jun
@ Latvia
1–0
W
6 Jun
@ Estonia
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Moldova and Faroe Islands.
What is the prediction for Moldova vs Faroe Islands?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Moldova vs Faroe Islands?
On our numbers Moldova have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Faroe Islands 39%.
How many goals will there be in Moldova vs Faroe Islands?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Moldova vs Faroe Islands?
Our predicted score is Moldova 1–1 Faroe Islands, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Moldova vs Faroe Islands?
Moldova vs Faroe Islands (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Zimbru.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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Spain4
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England2
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Albania3
Bulgaria0
Estonia0
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Scotland0
Switzerland3