Scotland vs Switzerland prediction & analysis
Switzerland or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Value bet: Switzerland to win @ 1.83 – our chance 64% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Scotland 0.3 – 1.2 Switzerland expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Switzerland travel as clear favourites – 64% to win, against 16% for Scotland.
Scotland have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.8 per game. Switzerland have 14 points from their last 6 (4W 2D 0L), averaging 2.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. Switzerland come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 1.5 goals (0.3 for Scotland, 1.2 for Switzerland). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 81% likely. Most likely scores: 0–1 (26%), 0–0 (22%), 0–2 (15%).
Our pick is Switzerland or draw at a 84% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is better than our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Switzerland to win at 1.83 is our value angle (64% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Switzerland to win ✓ | 64% | 1.57 | 1.83 ▲ |
| Double chance | Switzerland or draw ✓ | 84% | 1.19 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 53% | 1.90 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Under 1.5 goals ✗ | 56% | 1.79 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 81% | 1.24 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 93% | 1.07 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 56% | 1.80 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Switzerland / FT Switzerland ✓ | 33% | 2.99 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 26% | 3.83 | – |
Form
Scotland – last 6
| 26 Sep | @ Slovenia | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Jun | vs Brazil | 0–3 | L |
| 19 Jun | vs Morocco | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Jun | @ Haiti | 1–0 | W |
| 6 Jun | @ Bolivia | 4–0 | W |
| 30 May | vs Curaçao | 4–1 | W |
Switzerland – last 6
| 26 Sep | @ FYR Macedonia | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Jul | @ Argentina | 1–1 | D |
| 7 Jul | vs Colombia | 0–0 | D |
| 3 Jul | vs Algeria | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Jun | vs Canada | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Jun | vs Bosnia & Herzegovina | 4–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Scotland and Switzerland.
UEFA Nations League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Switzerland | 4 | +10 | 12 |
| 2 |  Slovenia | 4 | +2 | 7 |
| 3 |  Scotland | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 |  FYR Macedonia | 4 | -10 | 0 |
More UEFA Nations League predictions
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Luxembourg0
Iceland3Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Scotland vs Switzerland?
Our pick is Switzerland or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Scotland vs Switzerland?
On our numbers Scotland have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Switzerland 64%.
How many goals will there be in Scotland vs Switzerland?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
When is Scotland vs Switzerland?
Scotland vs Switzerland (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Hampden Park Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.