England travel to Sinobo Stadium in the UEFA Nations League on Tuesday 29 September (19:45 WAT) to face Czechia. Czechia are 4th with 0 points from 4 games, while England sit 2nd on 9 points.
Form guide
Czechia's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Croatia 1–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
England's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to Spain 2–3 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
England arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 1.1 for Czechia and 2.9 for England. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Czechia 9%, draw 19%, England 72%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was England to win – a 72% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Czechia 1–2 England. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Czechia9%fair 10.72 · @8.00
Draw19%fair 5.40 · @4.75
England72%fair 1.39 · @1.33
4.00Expected goals
1.10Czechia xG
2.90England xG
56%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–38%
0–28%
0–37%
1–46%
1–16%
From our goals model: Czechia 1.1 – 2.9 England expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
England to win✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Double chance
England or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
England ahead at half-time✗
56%
1.78
–
Half-time / full-time
HT England / FT England✗
52%
1.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.81
–
Form
Czechia – last 6
LLDLWW
26 Sep
vs Croatia
1–2
L
25 Jun
vs Mexico
0–3
L
18 Jun
vs South Africa
1–1
D
12 Jun
@ South Korea
1–2
L
5 Jun
vs Guatemala
3–1
W
31 May
vs Kosovo
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
England – last 6
LWLDWW
26 Sep
vs Spain
2–3
L
18 Jul
@ France
6–4
W
15 Jul
vs Argentina
1–2
L
11 Jul
@ Norway
1–1
D
6 Jul
@ Mexico
3–2
W
1 Jul
vs Congo DR
2–1
W
2.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Czechia and England.
Our pick is England to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Czechia vs England?
On our numbers Czechia have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 19% and England 72%.
How many goals will there be in Czechia vs England?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Czechia vs England?
Our predicted score is Czechia 1–2 England, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Czechia vs England?
Czechia vs England (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Sinobo Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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Belarus0
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San Marino0
Albania3
Slovakia2
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Bulgaria0
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Luxembourg0
Iceland3
Scotland0
Switzerland3