Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗23% · fair 4.36
Slovakia vs Kazakhstan preview and prediction
The match
The UEFA Nations League sees Slovakia take on Kazakhstan on Tuesday 29 September, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Kosicka futbalova arena. Slovakia are 1st with 10 points from 4 games, while Kazakhstan sit 4th on 2 points.
Form guide
Slovakia's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Moldova 2–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kazakhstan's last 5: DLDWW Most recently they drew with Faroe Islands 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.7 for Slovakia and 0.3 for Kazakhstan. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Our pre-match pick was Slovakia to win – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Slovakia 1–0 Kazakhstan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Slovakia74%fair 1.34 · @1.25
Draw18%fair 5.71 · @5.00
Kazakhstan8%fair 12.31 · @11.00
2.00Expected goals
1.69Slovakia xG
0.31Kazakhstan xG
43%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–023%
2–019%
0–014%
3–011%
1–17%
2–16%
From our goals model: Slovakia 1.7 – 0.3 Kazakhstan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Slovakia to win✓
74%
1.34
1.25
Double chance
Slovakia or draw✓
92%
1.09
1.05
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Slovakia ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Slovakia / FT Slovakia✗
46%
2.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
23%
4.36
–
Form
Slovakia – last 5
WDWWL
26 Sep
vs Moldova
2–0
W
5 Jun
vs Montenegro
2–2
D
1 Jun
vs Malta
2–1
W
31 Mar
vs Romania
2–0
W
26 Mar
vs Kosovo
3–4
L
2.2Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Kazakhstan – last 5
DLDWW
26 Sep
@ Faroe Islands
1–1
D
9 Jun
@ Hungary
1–3
L
6 Jun
@ Armenia
1–1
D
31 Mar
vs Comoros
1–0
W
25 Mar
vs Namibia
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Slovakia and Kazakhstan.
What is the prediction for Slovakia vs Kazakhstan?
Our pick is Slovakia to win with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Slovakia vs Kazakhstan?
On our numbers Slovakia have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Kazakhstan 8%.
How many goals will there be in Slovakia vs Kazakhstan?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Slovakia vs Kazakhstan?
Our predicted score is Slovakia 1–0 Kazakhstan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Slovakia vs Kazakhstan?
Slovakia vs Kazakhstan (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Kosicka futbalova arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.