San Marino vs Albania prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.91 · bookmaker 4.33 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: San Marino 1.1 – 3.4 Albania expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Albania travel as clear favourites – 79% to win, against 8% for San Marino.
San Marino have taken 1 points from their last 4 matches (0W 1D 3L), scoring 0.5 and conceding 2.8 per game. Albania have 3 points from their last 5 (1W 0D 4L), averaging 0.6 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 4.5 goals (1.1 for San Marino, 3.4 for Albania). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–3 (8%), 1–2 (7%), 0–3 (7%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 52% chance – the bookmaker price of 4.33 is better than our fair price of 1.91, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Albania to win ✓ | 79% | 1.26 | 1.04 |
| Double chance | Albania or draw ✓ | 92% | 1.09 | – |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 52% | 1.91 | 4.33 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 94% | 1.07 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 83% | 1.21 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✗ | 66% | 1.52 | – |
| Half-time result | Albania ahead at half-time ✓ | 62% | 1.62 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Albania / FT Albania ✓ | 58% | 1.74 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–3 ✗ | 8% | 12.49 | – |
Form
San Marino – last 4
| 26 Sep | vs Finland | 0–7 | L |
| 9 Jun | @ Azerbaijan | 1–2 | L |
| 5 Jun | vs Bangladesh | 1–2 | L |
| 31 Mar | vs Andorra | 0–0 | D |
Albania – last 5
| 26 Sep | vs Belarus | 2–0 | W |
| 6 Jun | vs Luxembourg | 0–1 | L |
| 3 Jun | vs Israel | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Mar | @ Ukraine | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Mar | @ Poland | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Marino and Albania.
UEFA Nations League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Albania | 4 | +5 | 9 |
| 2 |  Belarus | 4 | +3 | 7 |
| 3 |  Finland | 4 | +7 | 7 |
| 4 |  San Marino | 4 | -15 | 0 |
More UEFA Nations League predictions
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Switzerland3Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for San Marino vs Albania?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 4.33.
Who will win San Marino vs Albania?
On our numbers San Marino have a 8% chance of winning, the draw 12% and Albania 79%.
How many goals will there be in San Marino vs Albania?
We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is San Marino vs Albania?
San Marino vs Albania (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at San Marino Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.