Value bet: Espanyol to win @ 3.85 – our chance 30% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultOsasuna to win ✗46% · @2.14
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.17
Osasuna vs Espanyol preview and prediction
The match
Espanyol travel to Estadio El Sadar in the La Liga on Sunday 17 May (18:00 WAT) to face Osasuna. Osasuna are 16th with 12 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Espanyol sit 13th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Osasuna's last 5: LLLDD Most recently they lost to Atletico Madrid 1–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Espanyol's last 5: WDLLD Most recently they beat Athletic Club 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Espanyol arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.4 for Osasuna and 1.0 for Espanyol. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Osasuna 46%, draw 24%, Espanyol 30%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Espanyol to win at 3.85 – 30% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Osasuna 1–1 Espanyol. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Osasuna46%fair 2.19 · @2.14
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @2.92
Espanyol30%fair 3.30 · @3.85
2.41Expected goals
1.37Osasuna xG
1.05Espanyol xG
55%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Osasuna 1.4 – 1.0 Espanyol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Osasuna to win✗
46%
2.19
2.14
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Osasuna / FT Osasuna✗
26%
3.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.17
–
Form
Osasuna – last 6
LLLDDL
12 May
vs Atletico Madrid
1–2
L
8 May
@ Levante
2–3
L
21 Apr
@ Athletic Club
0–1
L
12 Apr
vs Real Betis
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ Alaves
2–2
D
1 Mar
@ Valencia
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Espanyol – last 6
WDLLDD
13 May
vs Athletic Club
2–0
W
27 Apr
vs Levante
0–0
D
23 Apr
@ Rayo Vallecano
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Mallorca
1–2
L
9 Mar
vs Oviedo
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Elche
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Osasuna and Espanyol.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Osasuna vs Espanyol?
On our numbers Osasuna have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Espanyol 30%.
How many goals will there be in Osasuna vs Espanyol?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Osasuna vs Espanyol?
Our predicted score is Osasuna 1–1 Espanyol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Osasuna vs Espanyol?
Osasuna vs Espanyol (La Liga) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Sadar.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Girona0
Mallorca0
Oviedo0