Value bet: Mallorca to win @ 3.25 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLevante to win ✓46% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.50
Levante vs Mallorca preview and prediction
The match
Levante host Mallorca in the La Liga on Sunday 17 May, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia.
Form guide
Levante's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Celta Vigo 3–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mallorca's last 5: LDWDW Most recently they lost to Getafe 1–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Levante arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Levante and 1.2 for Mallorca. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Levante 46%, draw 21%, Mallorca 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Mallorca to win at 3.25 – 33% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Levante 1–1 Mallorca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Levante46%fair 2.18 · @2.12
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.45
Mallorca33%fair 3.01 · @3.25
2.77Expected goals
1.53Levante xG
1.25Mallorca xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: Levante 1.5 – 1.2 Mallorca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Levante to win✓
46%
2.18
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Levante / FT Levante✓
26%
3.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.50
–
Form
Levante – last 6
WWDWWL
12 May
@ Celta Vigo
3–2
W
8 May
vs Osasuna
3–2
W
27 Apr
@ Espanyol
0–0
D
23 Apr
vs Sevilla
2–0
W
13 Apr
vs Getafe
1–0
W
4 Apr
@ Real Sociedad
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Mallorca – last 6
LDWDWL
13 May
@ Getafe
1–3
L
10 May
vs Villarreal
1–1
D
1 May
@ Girona
1–0
W
21 Apr
vs Valencia
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Espanyol
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Celta Vigo
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Levante and Mallorca.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Levante vs Mallorca?
On our numbers Levante have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Mallorca 33%.
How many goals will there be in Levante vs Mallorca?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Levante vs Mallorca?
Our predicted score is Levante 1–1 Mallorca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Levante vs Mallorca?
Levante vs Mallorca (La Liga) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Girona0
Oviedo0