Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
2
Value bet: Getafe to win @ 3.65 – our chance 31% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultElche to win ✓44% · @2.26
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓13% · fair 7.66
Elche vs Getafe preview and prediction
The match
Elche host Getafe in the La Liga on Sunday 17 May, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero. Elche are 18th with 10 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Getafe sit 15th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Elche's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Real Betis 1–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Getafe's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Mallorca 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Getafe arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for Elche and 1.0 for Getafe. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Elche 44%, draw 25%, Getafe 31%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Getafe to win at 3.65 – 31% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Elche 1–1 Getafe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Elche44%fair 2.29 · @2.26
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @2.85
Getafe31%fair 3.18 · @3.65
2.26Expected goals
1.25Elche xG
1.01Getafe xG
54%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Elche 1.3 – 1.0 Getafe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Elche to win✓
44%
2.29
2.26
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Elche / FT Elche✓
24%
4.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
13%
7.66
–
Form
Elche – last 6
LDLWLL
12 May
@ Real Betis
1–2
L
9 May
vs Alaves
1–1
D
3 May
@ Celta Vigo
1–3
L
22 Apr
vs Atletico Madrid
3–2
W
3 Apr
@ Rayo Vallecano
0–1
L
8 Mar
@ Villarreal
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Getafe – last 6
WWLWWW
13 May
vs Mallorca
3–1
W
22 Apr
@ Real Sociedad
1–0
W
13 Apr
@ Levante
0–1
L
5 Apr
vs Athletic Club
2–0
W
8 Mar
vs Real Betis
2–0
W
2 Mar
@ Real Madrid
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Elche and Getafe.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Elche vs Getafe?
On our numbers Elche have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Getafe 31%.
How many goals will there be in Elche vs Getafe?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Elche vs Getafe?
Our predicted score is Elche 1–1 Getafe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Elche vs Getafe?
Elche vs Getafe (La Liga) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Girona0
Mallorca0
Oviedo0