Value bet: Piast Gliwice to win @ 3.65 – our chance 32% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultWidzew Łódź to win ✓46% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.84
Widzew Łódź vs Piast Gliwice preview and prediction
The match
Piast Gliwice travel to Stadion Widzewa Lodz in the Ekstraklasa on Saturday 23 May (16:30 WAT) to face Widzew Łódź. Widzew Łódź are 13th with 14 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Piast Gliwice sit 7th on 22 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Widzew Łódź's last 5: LWDDD Most recently they lost to Legia Warszawa 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Piast Gliwice's last 5: LDDWD Most recently they lost to Raków Częstochowa 1–3 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Widzew Łódź and 1.1 for Piast Gliwice. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 56%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Piast Gliwice to win at 3.65 – 32% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Widzew Łódź 1–1 Piast Gliwice. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Widzew Łódź46%fair 2.16 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.35
Piast Gliwice32%fair 3.12 · @3.65
2.52Expected goals
1.41Widzew Łódź xG
1.11Piast Gliwice xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Widzew Łódź 1.4 – 1.1 Piast Gliwice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Widzew Łódź to win✓
46%
2.16
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Widzew Łódź / FT Widzew Łódź✓
26%
3.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.84
–
Form
Widzew Łódź – last 6
LWDDDD
1 May
@ Legia Warszawa
0–1
L
26 Apr
vs Motor Lublin
2–0
W
4 Apr
@ Raków Częstochowa
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs Gornik Zabrze
0–0
D
15 Mar
@ Arka Gdynia
0–0
D
20 Feb
vs Cracovia Krakow
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Piast Gliwice – last 6
LDDWDL
17 May
vs Raków Częstochowa
1–3
L
10 May
vs GKS Katowice
0–0
D
1 May
@ Korona Kielce
1–1
D
27 Apr
vs Arka Gdynia
4–1
W
20 Apr
@ Lechia Gdansk
1–1
D
13 Apr
vs Pogon Szczecin
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Widzew Łódź and Piast Gliwice.
What is the prediction for Widzew Łódź vs Piast Gliwice?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Widzew Łódź vs Piast Gliwice?
On our numbers Widzew Łódź have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Piast Gliwice 32%.
How many goals will there be in Widzew Łódź vs Piast Gliwice?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Widzew Łódź vs Piast Gliwice?
Our predicted score is Widzew Łódź 1–1 Piast Gliwice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Widzew Łódź vs Piast Gliwice?
Widzew Łódź vs Piast Gliwice (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Widzewa Lodz.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Arka Gdynia0
Nieciecza3
Lechia Gdansk2