The Ekstraklasa sees Lech Poznan take on Wisla Plock on Saturday 23 May, kicking off at 16:30 (WAT) at Enea Poznań. Lech Poznan are 1st with 32 points from 13 games (top of the table), while Wisla Plock sit 12th on 15 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Lech Poznan's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Arka Gdynia 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Wisla Plock's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Motor Lublin 0–4 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Lech Poznan arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.2 for Lech Poznan and 0.7 for Wisla Plock. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lech Poznan 70%, draw 19%, Wisla Plock 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.77.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Lech Poznan to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.26. Predicted score: Lech Poznan 2–0 Wisla Plock. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lech Poznan70%fair 1.42 · @1.26
Draw19%fair 5.14 · @5.50
Wisla Plock10%fair 9.80 · @10.50
2.97Expected goals
2.23Lech Poznan xG
0.74Wisla Plock xG
58%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–011%
2–19%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Lech Poznan 2.2 – 0.7 Wisla Plock expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lech Poznan to win✗
70%
1.42
1.26
Double chance
Lech Poznan or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.70
Half-time result
Lech Poznan ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lech Poznan / FT Lech Poznan✗
47%
2.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
7.87
–
Form
Lech Poznan – last 6
DWWWLL
8 May
vs Arka Gdynia
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs Nieciecza
4–1
W
19 Mar
@ Shakhtar Donetsk
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Zaglebie Lubin
1–0
W
12 Mar
vs Shakhtar Donetsk
1–3
L
4 Mar
vs Gornik Zabrze
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Wisla Plock – last 6
LLWWLL
10 May
vs Motor Lublin
0–4
L
26 Apr
vs Radomiak Radom
0–1
L
19 Apr
@ Nieciecza
3–1
W
10 Apr
vs Lechia Gdansk
1–0
W
4 Apr
@ GKS Katowice
0–1
L
9 Mar
vs Arka Gdynia
0–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lech Poznan and Wisla Plock.
What is the prediction for Lech Poznan vs Wisla Plock?
Our pick is Lech Poznan to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win Lech Poznan vs Wisla Plock?
On our numbers Lech Poznan have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Wisla Plock 10%.
How many goals will there be in Lech Poznan vs Wisla Plock?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lech Poznan vs Wisla Plock?
Our predicted score is Lech Poznan 2–0 Wisla Plock, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Lech Poznan vs Wisla Plock?
Lech Poznan vs Wisla Plock (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Enea Poznań.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Arka Gdynia0
Nieciecza3
Lechia Gdansk2