Jagiellonia vs Zaglebie Lubin preview and prediction
The match
Jagiellonia host Zaglebie Lubin in the Ekstraklasa on Saturday 23 May, with kick-off at 16:30 (WAT) at Chorten Arena. Jagiellonia are 9th with 21 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Zaglebie Lubin sit 6th on 23 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Jagiellonia's last 5: DWLDW Most recently they drew with GKS Katowice 2–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Zaglebie Lubin's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Cracovia Krakow 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Jagiellonia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Jagiellonia and 0.9 for Zaglebie Lubin. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 59%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Jagiellonia 2–0 Zaglebie Lubin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jagiellonia64%fair 1.57 · @1.57
Draw19%fair 5.26 · @4.20
Zaglebie Lubin17%fair 5.75 · @5.20
2.84Expected goals
1.96Jagiellonia xG
0.88Zaglebie Lubin xG
59%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Jagiellonia 2.0 – 0.9 Zaglebie Lubin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jagiellonia to win✓
64%
1.57
1.57
Double chance
Jagiellonia or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.48
Half-time result
Jagiellonia ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jagiellonia / FT Jagiellonia✓
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
11%
8.73
–
Form
Jagiellonia – last 6
DWLDWL
17 May
@ GKS Katowice
2–2
D
13 May
@ Raków Częstochowa
2–0
W
24 Apr
vs Gornik Zabrze
1–2
L
10 Apr
@ Korona Kielce
1–1
D
17 Mar
vs GKS Katowice
2–1
W
6 Mar
@ Lechia Gdansk
0–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Zaglebie Lubin – last 6
DLLLLL
3 May
vs Cracovia Krakow
0–0
D
24 Apr
vs Nieciecza
1–2
L
17 Apr
@ Legia Warszawa
0–1
L
7 Apr
@ Arka Gdynia
1–3
L
20 Mar
@ Motor Lublin
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Lech Poznan
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jagiellonia and Zaglebie Lubin.
What is the prediction for Jagiellonia vs Zaglebie Lubin?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Jagiellonia vs Zaglebie Lubin?
On our numbers Jagiellonia have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Zaglebie Lubin 17%.
How many goals will there be in Jagiellonia vs Zaglebie Lubin?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jagiellonia vs Zaglebie Lubin?
Our predicted score is Jagiellonia 2–0 Zaglebie Lubin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Jagiellonia vs Zaglebie Lubin?
Jagiellonia vs Zaglebie Lubin (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Chorten Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Arka Gdynia0
Nieciecza3
Lechia Gdansk2