Value bet: Korona Kielce to win @ 3.55 – our chance 30% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCracovia Krakow to win ✗46% · @2.16
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.20
Cracovia Krakow vs Korona Kielce preview and prediction
The match
Cracovia Krakow host Korona Kielce in the Ekstraklasa on Saturday 23 May, with kick-off at 16:30 (WAT) at Marshal Jozef Pilsudski Stadium. Cracovia Krakow are 15th with 12 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Korona Kielce sit 11th on 18 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Cracovia Krakow's last 5: DDLDL Most recently they drew with Radomiak Radom 0–0 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Korona Kielce's last 5: LDDLW Most recently they lost to Raków Częstochowa 0–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.4 for Cracovia Krakow and 1.0 for Korona Kielce. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cracovia Krakow 46%, draw 23%, Korona Kielce 30%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Korona Kielce to win at 3.55 – 30% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Cracovia Krakow 1–1 Korona Kielce. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cracovia Krakow46%fair 2.17 · @2.16
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.05
Korona Kielce30%fair 3.29 · @3.55
2.42Expected goals
1.37Cracovia Krakow xG
1.05Korona Kielce xG
58%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Cracovia Krakow 1.4 – 1.0 Korona Kielce expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cracovia Krakow to win✗
46%
2.17
2.16
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cracovia Krakow / FT Cracovia Krakow✗
26%
3.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.20
–
Form
Cracovia Krakow – last 6
DDLDLD
11 May
vs Radomiak Radom
0–0
D
3 May
@ Zaglebie Lubin
0–0
D
19 Apr
@ Raków Częstochowa
1–4
L
12 Apr
vs Arka Gdynia
2–2
D
27 Feb
vs Piast Gliwice
2–3
L
20 Feb
@ Widzew Łódź
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Korona Kielce – last 6
LDDLWL
8 May
@ Raków Częstochowa
0–2
L
1 May
vs Piast Gliwice
1–1
D
10 Apr
vs Jagiellonia
1–1
D
6 Apr
@ Lechia Gdansk
2–4
L
22 Mar
vs Arka Gdynia
3–0
W
16 Mar
@ Pogon Szczecin
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cracovia Krakow and Korona Kielce.
What is the prediction for Cracovia Krakow vs Korona Kielce?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Cracovia Krakow vs Korona Kielce?
On our numbers Cracovia Krakow have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Korona Kielce 30%.
How many goals will there be in Cracovia Krakow vs Korona Kielce?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cracovia Krakow vs Korona Kielce?
Our predicted score is Cracovia Krakow 1–1 Korona Kielce, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Cracovia Krakow vs Korona Kielce?
Cracovia Krakow vs Korona Kielce (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Marshal Jozef Pilsudski Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Arka Gdynia0
Nieciecza3
Lechia Gdansk2