Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.76 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.76Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLechia Gdansk to win ✗66% · @1.76
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.35
Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk preview and prediction
The match
Lechia Gdansk travel to Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza in the Ekstraklasa on Saturday 23 May (16:30 WAT) to face Nieciecza.
Form guide
Nieciecza's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Arka Gdynia 3–2 away. They average 1.8 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Lechia Gdansk's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Legia Warszawa 1–2 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.1 for Nieciecza and 2.3 for Lechia Gdansk. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score in 67% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Lechia Gdansk to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.76, above our fair price of 1.51, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nieciecza 1–2 Lechia Gdansk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nieciecza19%fair 5.19 · @3.80
Draw15%fair 6.82 · @4.20
Lechia Gdansk66%fair 1.51 · @1.76
3.44Expected goals
1.13Nieciecza xG
2.32Lechia Gdansk xG
67%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
0–29%
1–18%
1–37%
0–17%
0–37%
From our goals model: Nieciecza 1.1 – 2.3 Lechia Gdansk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lechia Gdansk to win✗
66%
1.51
1.76 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
85%
1.17
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.50
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.80
Half-time result
Lechia Gdansk ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lechia Gdansk / FT Lechia Gdansk✗
42%
2.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.35
–
Form
Nieciecza – last 6
WLWLWL
18 May
@ Arka Gdynia
3–2
W
3 May
@ GKS Katowice
1–4
L
24 Apr
@ Zaglebie Lubin
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs Wisla Plock
1–3
L
6 Apr
vs Piast Gliwice
3–2
W
22 Mar
@ Lech Poznan
1–4
L
1.8Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Lechia Gdansk – last 6
LLDLWW
17 May
vs Legia Warszawa
1–2
L
4 May
@ Radomiak Radom
1–3
L
20 Apr
vs Piast Gliwice
1–1
D
10 Apr
@ Wisla Plock
0–1
L
6 Apr
vs Korona Kielce
4–2
W
6 Mar
vs Jagiellonia
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nieciecza and Lechia Gdansk.
What is the prediction for Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk?
Our pick is Lechia Gdansk to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.76.
Who will win Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk?
On our numbers Nieciecza have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Lechia Gdansk 66%.
How many goals will there be in Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk?
Our predicted score is Nieciecza 1–2 Lechia Gdansk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk?
Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.