Double chanceRaków Częstochowa or draw ✓90% · @1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗14% · fair 7.36
Raków Częstochowa vs Arka Gdynia preview and prediction
The match
Raków Częstochowa host Arka Gdynia in the Ekstraklasa on Saturday 23 May, with kick-off at 16:30 (WAT) at zondacrypto Arena.
Form guide
Raków Częstochowa's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Piast Gliwice 3–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Arka Gdynia's last 5: LDDLD Most recently they lost to Nieciecza 2–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Raków Częstochowa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.2 for Raków Częstochowa and 0.7 for Arka Gdynia. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 46%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Raków Częstochowa 73%, draw 17%, Arka Gdynia 10%.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Raków Częstochowa to win – a 73% chance at odds of 1.31. Predicted score: Raków Częstochowa 2–0 Arka Gdynia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Raków Częstochowa73%fair 1.37 · @1.31
Draw17%fair 5.72 · @5.10
Arka Gdynia10%fair 10.46 · @8.90
2.92Expected goals
2.24Raków Częstochowa xG
0.68Arka Gdynia xG
46%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–014%
1–012%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Raków Częstochowa 2.2 – 0.7 Arka Gdynia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Raków Częstochowa to win✓
73%
1.37
1.31
Double chance
Raków Częstochowa or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.06
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.55
Half-time result
Raków Częstochowa ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Raków Częstochowa / FT Raków Częstochowa✓
49%
2.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
14%
7.36
–
Form
Raków Częstochowa – last 6
WLWWDL
17 May
@ Piast Gliwice
3–1
W
13 May
vs Jagiellonia
0–2
L
8 May
vs Korona Kielce
2–0
W
19 Apr
vs Cracovia Krakow
4–1
W
4 Apr
vs Widzew Łódź
1–1
D
19 Mar
vs Fiorentina
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Arka Gdynia – last 6
LDDLDW
18 May
vs Nieciecza
2–3
L
13 May
vs Gornik Zabrze
0–0
D
8 May
@ Lech Poznan
1–1
D
27 Apr
@ Piast Gliwice
1–4
L
12 Apr
@ Cracovia Krakow
2–2
D
7 Apr
vs Zaglebie Lubin
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Raków Częstochowa and Arka Gdynia.
What is the prediction for Raków Częstochowa vs Arka Gdynia?
Our pick is Raków Częstochowa to win with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.31.
Who will win Raków Częstochowa vs Arka Gdynia?
On our numbers Raków Częstochowa have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Arka Gdynia 10%.
How many goals will there be in Raków Częstochowa vs Arka Gdynia?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Raków Częstochowa vs Arka Gdynia?
Our predicted score is Raków Częstochowa 2–0 Arka Gdynia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Raków Częstochowa vs Arka Gdynia?
Raków Częstochowa vs Arka Gdynia (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at zondacrypto Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Nieciecza3
Lechia Gdansk2