Pogon Szczecin vs GKS Katowice prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGKS Katowice to win ✗43% · @2.26
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.41
Pogon Szczecin vs GKS Katowice preview and prediction
The match
Pogon Szczecin host GKS Katowice in the Ekstraklasa on Saturday 23 May, with kick-off at 16:30 (WAT) at Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera. Pogon Szczecin are 4th with 24 points from 13 games (in the top four), while GKS Katowice sit 8th on 21 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Pogon Szczecin's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Piast Gliwice 2–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
GKS Katowice's last 5: DDWWW Most recently they drew with Jagiellonia 2–2 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.5 for Pogon Szczecin and 1.6 for GKS Katowice. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 67% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 67% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Pogon Szczecin 1–1 GKS Katowice. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pogon Szczecin36%fair 2.75 · @2.68
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.90
GKS Katowice43%fair 2.35 · @2.26
3.07Expected goals
1.46Pogon Szczecin xG
1.61GKS Katowice xG
67%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Pogon Szczecin 1.5 – 1.6 GKS Katowice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
GKS Katowice to win✗
43%
2.35
2.26
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.50
1.42
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.65
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT GKS Katowice / FT GKS Katowice✗
25%
4.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.41
–
Form
Pogon Szczecin – last 5
WLWLW
13 Apr
@ Piast Gliwice
2–0
W
6 Apr
vs Legia Warszawa
0–2
L
16 Mar
vs Korona Kielce
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Raków Częstochowa
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Arka Gdynia
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
GKS Katowice – last 6
DDWWWL
17 May
vs Jagiellonia
2–2
D
10 May
@ Piast Gliwice
0–0
D
3 May
vs Nieciecza
4–1
W
17 Apr
vs Motor Lublin
3–2
W
4 Apr
vs Wisla Plock
1–0
W
17 Mar
@ Jagiellonia
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pogon Szczecin and GKS Katowice.
What is the prediction for Pogon Szczecin vs GKS Katowice?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Pogon Szczecin vs GKS Katowice?
On our numbers Pogon Szczecin have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 21% and GKS Katowice 43%.
How many goals will there be in Pogon Szczecin vs GKS Katowice?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pogon Szczecin vs GKS Katowice?
Our predicted score is Pogon Szczecin 1–1 GKS Katowice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Pogon Szczecin vs GKS Katowice?
Pogon Szczecin vs GKS Katowice (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Arka Gdynia0
Nieciecza3
Lechia Gdansk2